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#1
08-14-2009, 03:53 PM
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Field size trumps quality unless you're talking about the cream of the crop. Big races handle big money regardless of the field.
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#2
08-14-2009, 04:36 PM
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fan-favorites trump all.
Commentator running with other average horses is about as good as it gets betting wise. And from an entertainment perspective yea it is boring as hell to watch a Rachel or Bernardini beat up on overmatched rivals, at least after their initial break out race in situations where you know they are easily best going in. Hopefully you have three equally matched grade 3 or better caliber horses that each get to make their run, but that is rare for most graded stakes.
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#3
08-14-2009, 05:01 PM
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Thanks for the compliments everyone. For some reason the fractions came out as "_" when they put it online.
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#4
08-14-2009, 05:12 PM
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Great read. You definitely have a future in the business. Will add you to my list to track. keep up the good work!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#5
08-14-2009, 05:53 PM
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Good article, agree with all. Bullsbay had a better shot than 18-1 in that race.
__________________
"After a shooting spree, they always want to take the guns away from the people who didn't do it. I sure as hell wouldn't want to live in a society where the only people allowed guns are the police and the military."...William S. Burroughs
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#6
08-14-2009, 06:50 PM
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This was a great article but I think this thread has gone astray. Why does it have to be an either/or proposition. There have been plenty of years where you had good horses and competitive betting races. Isn't that what we should be after?
Paul
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#7
08-14-2009, 06:54 PM
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Every decent horse retires at 3 anymore, so we get a crappy Handicap Div. At least there are some pretty good 3yos still running this year. Maybe next year will be better!
__________________
"After a shooting spree, they always want to take the guns away from the people who didn't do it. I sure as hell wouldn't want to live in a society where the only people allowed guns are the police and the military."...William S. Burroughs
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#8
08-14-2009, 06:56 PM
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I'm going to play devil's advocate, and while the article is good...we are almost accepting the fact that bad horses are winning races like the Suburban and Whitney because the good horses are being retired after their 3year old year.
I've only been following this sport since 2004 and Peace Rules would be a National Hero right now, when back then long time fans were saying he wasn't all that good....
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#9
08-15-2009, 08:18 AM
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Quote:
However, Jose Lezcano's ride on Smooth Air was one of the worst rides you'll ever see in a major race. Bullsbay won the race with the dreamiest of dream trips ... and had Lezcano rode his typical smart race he would have been the one who inherited the dream trip. Instead he wanted to get pinballed in a 3 way pace battle - with two other faster horses - through very solid fractions.
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#10
08-15-2009, 09:44 AM
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Quote:
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#11
08-15-2009, 10:44 AM
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Quote:
He was probably best.  Of course, the fact that he finished BEHIND the other two he was 'dueling' with probably works a bit against that theory.Don't you think that Rose GUNNED a bit too soon and maybe get the worst of it in relation to Macho Again?
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#13
08-15-2009, 09:23 AM
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I read this title and I thought it was going to be an obituary.
Great article!!
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#15
08-15-2009, 09:44 AM
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Quote:
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