Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-04-2009, 03:28 PM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,336
Default

How many races are even run on the Saratoga main at 6.5 furlongs? And out of that number, how many of them are run as stakes, much less with Grade 1 winners in the lineup? It would be surprising if the track record wasnt smashed yesterday given this field.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 08-04-2009, 03:35 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 6,086
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
How many races are even run on the Saratoga main at 6.5 furlongs? And out of that number, how many of them are run as stakes, much less with Grade 1 winners in the lineup? It would be surprising if the track record wasnt smashed yesterday given this field.
The Amsterdam had only been run twice at 6.5 furlongs and all the other stakes are for 2yos or NY Breds. So not too surprising this record would go down.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 08-04-2009, 03:41 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,614
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
The Amsterdam had only been run twice at 6.5 furlongs and all the other stakes are for 2yos or NY Breds. So not too surprising this record would go down.
That's true. It's not surprising that the record could go down. That's why not that big a deal should be made of it. The focus of the race should be on how well Quality Road returned and how it sets him and the Capt Candyman up for their next races. The fact that it was a track record is really irrelevant, as evidenced by nearly three horses breaking the record in the same race and four going sub-1:14 4/5
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 08-04-2009, 03:43 PM
tector's Avatar
tector tector is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: South Florida
Posts: 1,053
Default

Crist talks a little bit about the 103 Beyer here:

http://cristblog.drf.com/crist/2009/...ay-1-8409.html

Quote:
A few of you asked about the Beyer figure for Quality Road's Amsterdam. It has been provisionally given a 103 amid the ongoing uncertainty over the fractional and final times for the race. If you took the clocking of 1:13.45 for 6.5f at face value, and assigned the race the same variant that worked perfectly for every other dirt race on the card, it would get a 119, which seems impossibly high given that Quality Road stumbled at the start and raced wide and that such a winning figure would give Capt. Candyman Can a 113, a 14-point career top in a race where he altered course sharply, and distant third-place finisher Captain Cherokee a 104, a 16-point career top.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 08-04-2009, 03:55 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 6,086
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by tector
Crist talks a little bit about the 103 Beyer here:

http://cristblog.drf.com/crist/2009/...ay-1-8409.html
I think the main problem seems to be that they arrived at 119 on a single variant. Other people have come up with figures that would place it at 110 or 112 on a single variant. So they may not only be putting the races on the second variant too low but may also be overrating the races on the first variant by 7 to 9 points.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 08-04-2009, 03:56 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
If you took the clocking of 1:13.45 for 6.5f at face value, and assigned the race the same variant that worked perfectly for every other dirt race on the card, it would get a 119
Oh God!

If that's so, they gave 44/1 debuter Tri Polar an 86 for winning the 20K MCL on race after the Amsterdam!

If that's so, they gave Dance Gal Dance a 7 point new career top and Doremifasolateedo a big double digit jump off of his last two.


I accept the 1:13.45 final time as obvious fact and only came back with a 109 Beyer for the race. They have the surrounding races too fast.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:00 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.