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#1
07-17-2009, 11:49 AM
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Looking at the Oaks.. if you want to try to beat the faves, and they look like they're vulnerable, Josie Carroll's Careless Jewel (8-1) may be the answer. Is forward-going and could make a quantum leap first time real dirt. Doesn't look like she has to have the lead, and came home nicely in the ALW blowout first time routing (albeit one turn).
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. 
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#2
07-18-2009, 03:21 PM
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Thanks for the tip Steve!!
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#3
07-19-2009, 05:34 AM
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My pleasure. She jumped off the page at me and the 10-1 was stunning given the field size after the SCR of Livin Lovin. She was the only horse I was interested in yesterday, and she blew that race apart. Another example of the potential of 'first dirt after multiple good starts on synthetic'. Bon Jovi Girl specifically was a bad favorite off the freakout last time in the mud. As one of Dee Tee's big partners says, "She's not much pumpkin", and 3-5 was a ridiculously bizarre price. The $22 win price on Careless Jewel and overlaid $450 ($1) triple with Bon Jovi Girl out of the money was a big opportunity.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 07-19-2009 at 06:20 AM.
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#4
07-19-2009, 10:42 AM
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what kind of odds on Icon Project?
her last was monstrous. Valdivia is one of the best with "pre-conditioned" horses, better yet if he got on them himself in the morning, but either way Wolfson surely has his guys. Wolfson is a high powered trainer... She was actually a legit turf horse vs better horses than Unbridled Belle and has a versatile pedigree. She is, if not the most likely winner, close in probability to UB in a race where the ML does not reflect that.
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#5
07-19-2009, 04:00 PM
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I included that horse based on your tip in my pick 3 but eventually lost it in the last leg 
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#6
07-19-2009, 04:42 PM
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Great, she is 3/2, 15MTP, LOWER odds than Unbridled Belle...
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#7
07-19-2009, 04:45 PM
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IP currently 2.80 to show , but with these internet players she will likely be down near 0 min to an unbettable price.
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#9
07-18-2009, 03:35 PM
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