Jms62 vs. Hockey2315 Stakes Contest

[TheSpyder]

Doing the Saratoga meet contest last year was a real eye opener. Only 3-4 out of 60 players turned a profit picking races over 36 days where they had thir choice of 36 out of 350+ races. I say from looking at that, there's little chance either of you show a profit.

This is a brutal game we play.

Spyder

[jms62]

Originally Posted by TheSpyder

Doing the Saratoga meet contest last year was a real eye opener. Only 3-4 out of 60 players turned a profit picking races over 36 days where they had thir choice of 36 out of 350+ races. I say from looking at that, there's little chance either of you show a profit.

This is a brutal game we play.

Spyder

Just curious. If you were handicapping it; what odds would you put on me returning a positive return.

[jms62]

7/18/2009 Robert G. Dick Memorial S. III 11 Furlongs (T) 3+ Delaware Park
7/18/2009 Delaware Oaks II 8.5 Furlongs 3 Delaware Park
7/18/2009 Jaipur S. III 6 Furlongs (T) 3+ Belmont Park
7/18/2009 Virginia Derby II 10 Furlongs (T) 3 Colonial Downs
7/18/2009 Virginia Oaks III 9 Furlongs (T) 3 Colonial Downs
7/18/2009 Arlington Oaks III 9 Furlongs 3 Arlington Park
7/18/2009 Swaps S. II 9 Furlongs 3 Hollywood Park
7/18/2009 A Gleam H. II 7 Furlongs 3+ Hollywood Park

Additional Stats

[robfla]

Originally Posted by jms62

Just curious. If you were handicapping it; what odds would you put on me returning a positive return.

99:1

[jms62]

Originally Posted by robfla

99:1

You very well may be right but I'll offer you an overlay, would you give me 40-1 ? Donation to the throughbred charity of the winners choice.

[hockey2315]

DEL R7 - Delaware Oaks - #3 Livin Lovin (Alt: #4 Careless Jewel)DEL R9 - RG Dick Memorial H. -* #6 Dyna’s Lassie (Alt: #9 Dress Rehearsal)BEL R9 - Jaipur S. - #7 Le Grand Cru (Alt: #5 Silver Timber)CNL R10 - Virginia Oaks - #3 Oh So Nice (Alt: #4 Excelente)CNL R11 - Virginia Derby - #10 Lime Rickey (Alt: #7 Hold Me Back)AP R9 - Arlington Oaks - #2 Hot Cha Cha (Alt: #3 Always in My Heart)HOL R6 - A Gleam H. - #3 Modification (Alt: #4 Silver Swallow)HOL R8 - Swaps S. -* #4 Misremembered (Alt: #2 Massone)

[jms62]

3:57 Delaware Oaks II 8.5 Furlongs 3 Delaware Park
4-Careless Jewel alt: 3-Livin Loven

4:51 Robert G. Dick Memorial S. III 11 Furlongs (T) 3+ Delaware Park
2-Jaunty Gale alt: 3-Trensa

5:14 Virginia Oaks III 9 Furlongs (T) 3 Colonial Downs
10-Blind Date alt: 4-Excelente

5:17 Jaipur S. III 6 Furlongs (T) 3+ Belmont Park
4-Due Date alt: 7-Le Grand Cru

5:59 Virginia Derby II 10 Furlongs (T) 3 Colonial Downs
1-Affirmatif alt: 10-Hold Me Back

6:03 Arlington Oaks III 9 Furlongs 3 Arlington Park
6-Peach Brew alt: 2-Hot Cha Cha

6:38 A Gleam H. II 7 Furlongs 3+ Hollywood Park
2-Coco Belle alt: 9-Evita Argentina

7/18/2009 Swaps S. II 9 Furlongs 3 Hollywood Park
7-Quindici Man alt: 8-Grazen

[jms62]

Can't post the updates due to the 39 KB restriction on uploads on this site... I guess they are stuck in a 1987 time warp..

I lead by 62.90 and am winning at a 24% clip with a 61% ITM.. I currently show a flat bet profit of 25.40

You are winning at a 15% rate with a 33% ITM.. With the fortunate scratch you are showing a flat bet profit of -7.5 and still are in he hunt to return a flat bet profit once you get hot.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by jms62

Just curious. If you were handicapping it; what odds would you put on me returning a positive return?

Originally Posted by robfla

99:1

How about both of us?

[jms62]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

How about both of us?

Don't expect a reply Hockey... As far as class goes he is a 5 K maiden claimer.

[gorvy]

Fun thread guys.

[philcski]

Great job, guys... positive return on ~150 races over 4 months over a multitude of tracks and surfaces, great handicapping...