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#1
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#2
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The way he rated, I suspect they weren't going to gun him today. Which means he gets a nice inside trip. When you factor in that he had to make up all that ground, was widest in the stretch, and probably would've still won with a jock that could've kept him straight (as he lugged in very badly), no doubt he wins.
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#3
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I think the top 2 are closer and maybe the 2 wins, but it's possible that the missed break helped him a bit. If they ever get him to run straight he might be an ok one.
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