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  #1  
Old 05-12-2009, 07:29 PM
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ninetoone ninetoone is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
really? you don't think people will be put off by him only beating flying private in the derby?
Nope. I definitely see him as favored over MTB. No way he goes from the Derby favorite to 10-1 in this race. I could be wrong, but that's my guess.
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  #2  
Old 05-12-2009, 08:15 PM
Gander Gander is offline
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I dont see the Derby as a race that most rational bettors use a gauge to determine the chances of a particular horse next out. Theres always too many horses causing atypical trips, and this year's Derby was run in slop, albeit Friesan Fire is a horse who likes it wet. Like every year, there are a few very logical horses who had excuses.

Friesan Fire is a tough one to gauge odds on but I would guess much lower than 10/1. Maybe 6/1?
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Old 05-12-2009, 08:27 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
I dont see the Derby as a race that most rational bettors use a gauge to determine the chances of a particular horse next out. Theres always too many horses causing atypical trips, and this year's Derby was run in slop, albeit Friesan Fire is a horse who likes it wet. Like every year, there are a few very logical horses who had excuses.

Friesan Fire is a tough one to gauge odds on but I would guess much lower than 10/1. Maybe 6/1?

that's the thing-he had some good races, but fell so flat in ky, and supposedly liked an off track. second off a layoff tho, with his seven week break from his last to the derby...

i like rachel, but i really like musket man here and would definitely use him in ex's and tri's.
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  #4  
Old 05-12-2009, 10:01 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ninetoone
Nope. I definitely see him as favored over MTB. No way he goes from the Derby favorite to 10-1 in this race. I could be wrong, but that's my guess.
Unlikely. Had he run an indifferent 8th or something, maybe, but he finished 2nd last beaten 43 lengths. You and I know that was not a real effort but the majority of the people betting the Preakness will not look past it.
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  #5  
Old 05-12-2009, 10:12 PM
Alan07 Alan07 is offline
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Will there be a 14th horse?
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  #6  
Old 05-12-2009, 10:30 PM
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eajinabi eajinabi is offline
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Asmussen is the new trainer for RA?? Horrible!!

Previous owners got thier money and Hal Wiggins get nothing??
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  #7  
Old 05-13-2009, 10:30 AM
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booner booner is offline
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This is shaping up to be a good race IMO. When RA was entered, I was quick to make her my top choice. Now that I've looked a little more, I'm not so sure.

I will be at a wedding reception about the time the race goes off. I have got to find someway, somehow to watch it.......
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  #8  
Old 05-13-2009, 11:43 AM
Alan07 Alan07 is offline
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Jockey Jamie Theriot will ride Luv Gov in the Preakness, trainer D. Wayne Lukas said. Theriot replaces Miguel Mena.
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  #9  
Old 05-13-2009, 11:50 AM
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cakes44 cakes44 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alan07
Jockey Jamie Theriot will ride Luv Gov in the Preakness, trainer D. Wayne Lukas said. Theriot replaces Miguel Mena.
Sounds like a winner.
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