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  #1  
Old 05-06-2009, 11:05 AM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678
perhaps steve can get a breakdown of how much was bet on the horse in Canada in particular at Woodbine , this would be interesting to see

perhpas some of the sharp players at Woodbine knew this horse had talent - they saw a big time jockey switch as the green light to bet this horse

perhaps there is no freaking way to explain it. Even if the horse had won the Freaking Sunland Park derby he would have been 40-1 at best. And we all would have tossed his ass out still. He showed grit as a two year old but he showed nothing as a three year old Marty. Nothing we come up with after the race would justify betting him in the race. Nothing

the only thing i disagree with is writing this horse off after he just won the Derby by 7 with a 105 Beyer. I'd like to see him run a few more times before writing him off... Am I going to use him him the Preakness?? most likely not unless somehow he's high odds (15-1 or higher) which is very unlikely. I'm probably not going to bet the Preakness at all... I'm still pissed at my piss poor opinion of the Derby.

I also agree with Coach that the Derby made a lot of horses look really bad... and I dont think the 2nd, 3rd or 4th finishers were impressive at all...
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Can I start just making stuff up out of thin air, too?
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  #2  
Old 05-06-2009, 11:07 AM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Antitrust32
perhaps there is no freaking way to explain it. Even if the horse had won the Freaking Sunland Park derby he would have been 40-1 at best. And we all would have tossed his ass out still. He showed grit as a two year old but he showed nothing as a three year old Marty. Nothing we come up with after the race would justify betting him in the race. Nothing

the only thing i disagree with is writing this horse off after he just won the Derby by 7 with a 105 Beyer. I'd like to see him run a few more times before writing him off... Am I going to use him him the Preakness?? most likely not unless somehow he's high odds (15-1 or higher) which is very unlikely. I'm probably not going to bet the Preakness at all... I'm still pissed at my piss poor opinion of the Derby.

I also agree with Coach that the Derby made a lot of horses look really bad... and I dont think the 2nd, 3rd or 4th finishers were impressive at all...

he listed at 5/1 for the Preakness
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  #3  
Old 05-06-2009, 11:13 AM
sumitas sumitas is offline
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You cannot dismiss that tgraph tapped him as one of the few eligible for a new top . And MTB delivered that top . It seems he will probably be a couple of points off that top in the Preakness but that might be good enough to win . We need to look at the form cycle for horses ready for a new top for the Preakness.
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  #4  
Old 05-06-2009, 01:19 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sumitas
You cannot dismiss that tgraph tapped him as one of the few eligible for a new top . And MTB delivered that top . It seems he will probably be a couple of points off that top in the Preakness but that might be good enough to win . We need to look at the form cycle for horses ready for a new top for the Preakness.
Oh my God.
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  #5  
Old 05-06-2009, 05:34 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Oh my God.
He actually said something that made sense for the first time in, ever. Give him some credit here.
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  #6  
Old 05-06-2009, 07:33 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
He actually said something that made sense for the first time in, ever. Give him some credit here.
Yeah but he said it like the TG guys called the winner. I'm pretty sure this is what they said:

"was relatively slow at two, and finally moved forward last time. There is nothing wrong with this pattern, and with rest he has a good chance to run a new top now -- but he would need an enormous jump to be competitive."
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  #7  
Old 05-06-2009, 07:52 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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coa had a choice of mounts, opting to remain with musket man over big drama, who will now have jonnie v in the irons.
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  #8  
Old 05-06-2009, 08:06 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Yeah but he said it like the TG guys called the winner. I'm pretty sure this is what they said:

"was relatively slow at two, and finally moved forward last time. There is nothing wrong with this pattern, and with rest he has a good chance to run a new top now -- but he would need an enormous jump to be competitive."
Correct- TG guys were well off the mark, as most of us were, but I didn't get that out of what he wrote. He just stated that TG at least predicted a decent run whereas he was the consensus choice to finish last.

In fact, I said he was even money to finish last.
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  #9  
Old 05-11-2009, 06:25 PM
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2Hot4TV 2Hot4TV is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sumitas
You cannot dismiss that tgraph tapped him as one of the few eligible for a new top . And MTB delivered that top . It seems he will probably be a couple of points off that top in the Preakness but that might be good enough to win . We need to look at the form cycle for horses ready for a new top for the Preakness.
His new top was still going to be below the rest of the runner.

He wont win the Preakness.

The Filly will bounce.

Pioneer of Thenile will win.
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  #10  
Old 05-11-2009, 06:59 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Tuesday at Pimlico

· Papa Clem will work at 7 am

· Friesan Fire scheduled for 8 am work. Trainer Larry Jones to decide on Preakness after breeze

· Big Drama has been here since last Tuesday. He has been going to the track at 6:30 am

· D. Wayne Lukas’ horses (Flying Private & Luv Gov) leaving Louisville at 4 am

· General Quarters scheduled to leave Churchill at 5 am

· Mine That Bird will leave Kentucky at 9 am

Van drivers tell us it is 10-11 hours from Churchill to Pimlico. Derby winner will get a police escort from Route 70, prior to the Baltimore Beltway into Old Hilltop.
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  #11  
Old 05-11-2009, 07:00 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Tuesday at Pimlico

· Papa Clem will work at 7 am

· Friesan Fire scheduled for 8 am work. Trainer Larry Jones to decide on Preakness after breeze

· Big Drama has been here since last Tuesday. He has been going to the track at 6:30 am

· D. Wayne Lukas’ horses (Flying Private & Luv Gov) leaving Louisville at 4 am

· General Quarters scheduled to leave Churchill at 5 am

· Mine That Bird will leave Kentucky at 9 am

Van drivers tell us it is 10-11 hours from Churchill to Pimlico. Derby winner will get a police escort from Route 70, prior to the Baltimore Beltway into Old Hilltop.
So is Luv Gov still running if it doesn't shut Rachel out?
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  #12  
Old 05-11-2009, 07:12 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
So is Luv Gov still running if it doesn't shut Rachel out?
Yeah. Apparently..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #13  
Old 05-11-2009, 07:17 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Mine That Bird will leave Kentucky at 9 am

Van drivers tell us it is 10-11 hours from Churchill to Pimlico. Derby winner will get a police escort from Route 70, prior to the Baltimore Beltway into Old Hilltop.
Cool.
This will work out well when another
drunken brawl breaks out.
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