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  #1  
Old 04-21-2009, 01:58 PM
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Good thing Stevies on dapple patrol.
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  #2  
Old 04-21-2009, 02:00 PM
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I must have an imposter of CHOCOLATE CANDY on my desktop because he sure isn't gray. Maybe you were looking at DUNKIRK.
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Old 04-21-2009, 02:10 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Wait, Chocolate Candy is a gray?
Sorry! My fault.. Meant that about General Quarters...

(Don't know why I confused it in with the Choc. Candy follow up...)
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  #4  
Old 04-21-2009, 02:15 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Sorry! My fault.. Meant that about General Quarters...

(Don't know why I confused it in with the Choc. Candy follow up...)
How did GQ work ? DRF's take wasn't positive.
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  #5  
Old 04-21-2009, 02:42 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
How did GQ work ? DRF's take wasn't positive.
He has a very strange, funky way of going..
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  #6  
Old 04-21-2009, 07:42 PM
Merlinsky Merlinsky is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Sorry! My fault.. Meant that about General Quarters...

(Don't know why I confused it in with the Choc. Candy follow up...)
How dappled was Prince Thou Art?


Is it possible for a horse like PotN to work as well as he did and have an issue with the surface on race day or is there a point where the work is actually indicative? It seems like excuses from synthetic horses happen every year where we think things are gonna maybe work out and then on the day, not so much. Could it just be that they handled it just fine as their works suggested and weren't that good in the Derby on their own merit/lackthereof? Does it also matter that they soup it up for the big day versus this work where it looks like the surface just got slower over the day?
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Old 04-21-2009, 08:04 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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didn't curlin have some really good works over the turf?

also seem to recall hard spun had some really good works at oaklawn, and then ran very poorly in the southwest stakes. porter and jones were lavish in their praise, and then he finished fourth and they did a 180, saying he didn't like the track. that after they said he loved the track. go figure.
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Old 04-21-2009, 08:07 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Merlinsky
How dappled was Prince Thou Art?


Is it possible for a horse like PotN to work as well as he did and have an issue with the surface on race day or is there a point where the work is actually indicative? It seems like excuses from synthetic horses happen every year where we think things are gonna maybe work out and then on the day, not so much. Could it just be that they handled it just fine as their works suggested and weren't that good in the Derby on their own merit/lackthereof? Does it also matter that they soup it up for the big day versus this work where it looks like the surface just got slower over the day?

Chic Anderson thought Prince Thou Art looked great....until deep stretch.

To suggest that Pioneer of the Nile " answered all questions " about his ability to handle the dirt with his work today is a pretty surprising thing to do. Come on, turf horses work well on the dirt all the time, but you can only tell for certain if a horse will handle the dirt if he ( or she ) is under raceday pressures. I'm not saying he won't handle the surface.....but I'm shocked that anybody would say he is certain to after today's stroll.
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Old 04-21-2009, 08:27 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Chic Anderson thought Prince Thou Art looked great....until deep stretch.

To suggest that Pioneer of the Nile " answered all questions " about his ability to handle the dirt with his work today is a pretty surprising thing to do. Come on, turf horses work well on the dirt all the time, but you can only tell for certain if a horse will handle the dirt if he ( or she ) is under raceday pressures. I'm not saying he won't handle the surface.....but I'm shocked that anybody would say he is certain to after today's stroll.
Even with his string of wins wont POTN be under bet? I know that sounds crazy but he has slow syn figures that the public wont understand, has never run on dirt, and will be the subject of a drumbeat of articles saying how bad a bet he is. I would imagine he is around 6/1, now whether thats fair is subjective but I have seen this play out before.
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Old 04-21-2009, 08:30 PM
Hoist Her Flag Hoist Her Flag is offline
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Some of these horses in the next tier have to move up to 20 to one if the Big four are all under 8-1. Don't they. I will bet Desert Part at 20-1, not 12-1.
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  #11  
Old 04-21-2009, 08:32 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
Even with his string of wins wont POTN be under bet? I know that sounds crazy but he has slow syn figures that the public wont understand, has never run on dirt, and will be the subject of a drumbeat of articles saying how bad a bet he is. I would imagine he is around 6/1, now whether thats fair is subjective but I have seen this play out before.

6:1 seems like a dramatic underlay to me....but honestly, I don't want to soil this fine thread by turning it into, yet another, anti-POTN thread.
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  #12  
Old 04-22-2009, 08:03 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Chic Anderson thought Prince Thou Art looked great....until deep stretch.

To suggest that Pioneer of the Nile " answered all questions " about his ability to handle the dirt with his work today is a pretty surprising thing to do. Come on, turf horses work well on the dirt all the time, but you can only tell for certain if a horse will handle the dirt if he ( or she ) is under raceday pressures. I'm not saying he won't handle the surface.....but I'm shocked that anybody would say he is certain to after today's stroll.

Exactly....Same thing for a dirt horse working over the poly, or an off track.
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  #13  
Old 04-21-2009, 09:35 PM
jett129 jett129 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Merlinsky
How dappled was Prince Thou Art?


Is it possible for a horse like PotN to work as well as he did and have an issue with the surface on race day or is there a point where the work is actually indicative? It seems like excuses from synthetic horses happen every year where we think things are gonna maybe work out and then on the day, not so much. Could it just be that they handled it just fine as their works suggested and weren't that good in the Derby on their own merit/lackthereof? Does it also matter that they soup it up for the big day versus this work where it looks like the surface just got slower over the day?
What about Colonel John last year?--Jett
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  #14  
Old 04-22-2009, 08:10 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Merlinsky
How dappled was Prince Thou Art?


Is it possible for a horse like PotN to work as well as he did and have an issue with the surface on race day or is there a point where the work is actually indicative? It seems like excuses from synthetic horses happen every year where we think things are gonna maybe work out and then on the day, not so much. Could it just be that they handled it just fine as their works suggested and weren't that good in the Derby on their own merit/lackthereof? Does it also matter that they soup it up for the big day versus this work where it looks like the surface just got slower over the day?
This is an interesting point, perhaps we should look at all factors and not just the one angle.
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  #15  
Old 04-22-2009, 08:11 AM
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Just for what it's worth, all things considered, Colonel John's Derby wasn't all bad last year, was it?
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  #16  
Old 04-22-2009, 08:37 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
Just for what it's worth, all things considered, Colonel John's Derby wasn't all bad last year, was it?
Until a horse wins going from synth to dirt, I guess we will have these questions. Remember it wasn't too long ago where some didn't believe a horse could win the derby off just 2 preps until Street Sense did it.
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  #17  
Old 04-21-2009, 02:44 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
Good thing Stevies on dapple patrol.
Watch it there Derby Barbie... I'll put some dapples on your hind end.
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #18  
Old 04-21-2009, 02:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Watch it there Derby Barbie... I'll put some dapples on your hind end.
!!!
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  #19  
Old 04-21-2009, 02:53 PM
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go to the whip !!
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  #20  
Old 04-21-2009, 08:11 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Watch it there Derby Barbie... I'll put some dapples on your hind end.
I laughed, very hard!
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