Betting ? for the board

[Bobby Fischer]

Originally Posted by wac

my question is that should i be betting less win place and try to put the 1 on top of some of these ex tri bets? its just that i am not right very often and when i am i want to cream the race.

If you like a horse in that 10-1 range, he will pay good across the board.

Have an opinion about the favorite in your race.

If the favorite(not your pick) is a strong pick:
consider the daily double with maybe 3-5 horses from the previous and/or next races and your horse.
It could pay more than the 1/fav exacta in your race.
Also if you want to take some shots you could save $$ keying the favorite with your pick in some tris.
examples
tri 1/2,3,4,5/fav
tri 1/fav/2,3,4,5
tri fav/1/2,3,4,5
tri 1/3longshots/fav
tri 1/fav/2longshots
tri fav/1/2longshots
If the favorite is weak - go ahead and play extra exactas(excluding the fav), and think about covering your opinion in the tris.

[Thunder Gulch]

Betting longshots to place and show is statistically the worst bet on the board.

[AeWingnut]

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch

Betting longshots to place and show is statistically the worst bet on the board.

define longshot. Some people say "upset" if something around 5-1 wins a race

I will bet a longshot (20-1) across the board if I believe it will pay more than $8 to show.

[Oaklawnfan]

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch

Betting longshots to place and show is statistically the worst bet on the board.

Amen! You're betting against yourself and the takeout will get you. Go horizontaly rather than verticaly. Pick threes and fours if the exactas and trifectas are not working for you.

[AeWingnut]

Originally Posted by Oaklawnfan

Amen! You're betting against yourself and the takeout will get you. Go horizontaly rather than verticaly. Pick threes and fours if the exactas and trifectas are not working for you.

yeah I understand takeout - for example the rolling pick 3s at Keeneland. They are great. You can win 2 races in a row and lose the 3rd leg and get taken out of 3 bets.

[eajinabi]

Originally Posted by Oaklawnfan

Amen! You're betting against yourself and the takeout will get you. Go horizontaly rather than verticaly. Pick threes and fours if the exactas and trifectas are not working for you.

I agree that Pick 3 and Pick 4 are better bets than handicapping who comes in third in a trifecta. Of course horizontal bets require patience which a lot of people who go to the track do not have.