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#1
03-18-2009, 08:15 PM
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i'm still struck by all the posts about inflation when the immediate threat is deflation.
if the government did this in a growing economy it would be inflationary. but the economy isn't growing. in all likelihood the world economy will shrink in 2009 for the 1st time since ww2. i don't know of more than a small minority of economists that isn't behind this approach. they've cut the fed funds rate as low as they can. this is the next logical step. i saw today that core inflation in february was 0.2%. that's after fed fund rates were cut as close to zero as possible 6 months ago (something that would be hugely inflationary in a growing economy). stop worrying about water damage. we need to put the fire out. 
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#2
03-19-2009, 07:32 AM
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In a perfect world - only those great many who behaved irresponcibly the last several years should have to feel the pain... but that's not how it works and the whole economic system should feel it. When you inevitably bounce back from real suffering - people will behave more responcibly overall. Keep injecting pain killers into a race horse - tap and block this - tap and block that - you might solve the temporary problems and have an unsound horse capable of running to it's best form. But, running well or not, you still have an unsound horse! - and sooner or later you'll destroy the horse. Give depression a chance. Bernanke is a big player at leading us into this mess - and over $1 trillion dollars was created out of thin air by him yesterday. There's no shortage of cash to lend .. there's a shortage of the will to lend it. The Fed buying $300 billion worth of crap treasuries isn't "putting out the fire" - from a long term standpoint - it's throwing gas on a burning fire.
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#4
03-19-2009, 08:45 AM
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#5
03-19-2009, 08:48 AM
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you are correct about this , we can't print the $$ fast eneough in this country, we have to outsource printing USD to foreign countries , the printing presses are running 24/7 not only here but overseas as well we are not going to be able to spend/print our way out of these problems
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#6
03-19-2009, 09:59 AM
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I'm giving up on doing all handicapping work after Wood Memorial/SA Derby day which is April 4th.
I'm basically laying myself off of the only job I've ever had - betting on horses. I've closed all but one account. I'm sure as hell not going to be all-in with the US dollar anymore. I've started taking a good deal of my cash and moving it into a mix of other investments for now. I've benefited some from this economic mess while a lot of people have got hit - and now I'm getting out before I get decimated. Holding all cash was a never a strategy either - I benifted incidentally because of the major emotional stabilizer a big cash bankroll is to a horse bettor. I'm totally changing direction with my life mostly because of how disgusted I am with what I see as how other people take advantage of a perverted system while I get all the worst of it. People value stuff like security and social life. I have zero security - and am in front of a tv or computer at least 12 hours a day - 7 days a week - most of the year. Tedious, hard, and socially suicidal work. People spend money they don't have, buy stuff they can't afford, American way don't ya know? I'm swimming in cash - and cutting coupons, eating cheap food, run down totally slummy appt just off of 26th street, and in a junker without insurance. I don't believe anyone could ever do what I have for as long as I have. The combo of tremendous luck and good fortune years ago, tremendous hard work, tremendous skill, tremendous disregard for security, and tremendous cheap ass tight waddedness has allowed me to do what is close to impossible. It's not like I had a big starting bankroll. It's not like I have some fancy formal education to fall back on either in case I bustout. Or some inheritance or future trust fund. I've never had my bankroll supplamented by working as a jocks agent or for a track - I have got paid by a local paper and was a teller for a short time many years ago - but thats it. Have won a few handicapping contests & got put up nice by another bettor for a big P6 I picked for him - but it's come real hard. Once I stop doing the work - I'm going to have an insane amount of free time. Maybe I can find clever and devious ways to run circles around the system and get rich like a good little businessman. If not, so what. I'd feel like I was real lucky and happy and doing what I most want to be doing - but I hate being forced into the dead 10 path the whole way while most everyone else gets to run wild on a paved rail.
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#7
03-19-2009, 10:02 AM
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#8
03-19-2009, 10:04 AM
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#9
03-20-2009, 07:36 PM
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I give this post 9 diapers (out of 10).
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#10
03-19-2009, 10:47 AM
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you and johnny think the fed increases the money supply by physically printing it? the money supply is increased by loosening credit. it's done by pushing buttons on a keyboard, the same way preposterous idea's are minted on the internet. there's about $1 trillion cash in circulation right now, the same as there always is. they print money to replace what is taken out of circulation. where on earth did you get the idea we were having dollars printed overseas?
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#11
03-19-2009, 10:48 AM
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#12
03-19-2009, 10:51 AM
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i have a frined in the printing business , the machines are running 24/7 and they can't handle all of it in this country the have to outsource it 
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