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Old 02-25-2009, 08:04 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Originally Posted by justindew
Because confused people bet less, if it all. And when they do bet, the tie up betting windows.

I'm sure this line of thinking is at least partly to blame for the fact that we still only have 24 options in the Future Wager, and why dime superfectas aren't offered on Derby day (unless they are now. They didn't used to be.)
i don't think they bet less. i think a lot of folks who only go on derby day will bet-they just might not pick the right horse, like what you mentioned with big truck. either that or there were a lot of guys who like trucks, so they bet him.
but they do tie up windows.
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Old 02-25-2009, 08:11 PM
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justindew justindew is offline
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Originally Posted by Danzig
i don't think they bet less. i think a lot of folks who only go on derby day will bet-they just might not pick the right horse, like what you mentioned with big truck. either that or there were a lot of guys who like trucks, so they bet him.
but they do tie up windows.
I just imagine a scenario where people who don't follow Derby news that closely try to bet on the #24 in the Oaks-Derby Double only to find out that #24 isn't in the field, but the #22 is, even though they are both on the AE list.

CD has a history, in my opinion, of taking bettor intelligence into consideration. For example, The Matrix.
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Old 02-25-2009, 08:25 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Originally Posted by justindew
I just imagine a scenario where people who don't follow Derby news that closely try to bet on the #24 in the Oaks-Derby Double only to find out that #24 isn't in the field, but the #22 is, even though they are both on the AE list.

CD has a history, in my opinion, of taking bettor intelligence into consideration. For example, The Matrix.
i would think most casual bettors would bet by the horses name, not the #. regardless, i don't see churchill changing any of it anyway.
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Old 02-25-2009, 11:04 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by justindew
I just imagine a scenario where people who don't follow Derby news that closely try to bet on the #24 in the Oaks-Derby Double only to find out that #24 isn't in the field, but the #22 is, even though they are both on the AE list.

CD has a history, in my opinion, of taking bettor intelligence into consideration. For example, The Matrix.
I would imagine that people who dont follow Derby news that close dont bet the Oaks/Derby double. Have Scratchtime at 1 pm on Friday. Dont open oaks/Derby double betting till then
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Old 02-25-2009, 11:06 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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CD has a history, in my opinion, of taking bettor intelligence into consideration. For example, The Matrix.
The matrix and over/under show clearly that the bettors are far smarter than CDI management. Who the hell thought these things could work? The matrix is far more complicated than AE's for the Derby. Complicated and stupid
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Old 02-25-2009, 11:11 PM
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Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
The matrix and over/under show clearly that the bettors are far smarter than CDI management. Who the hell thought these things could work? The matrix is far more complicated than AE's for the Derby. Complicated and stupid
Agreed. And The Matrix was created to dumb things down (unnecessarily) for new fans. And my point is that CD has a record of worrying about whether or not bettors can figure things out. Thus, no AE list for the Derby.
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