Dubai Carnival Contest II

[brockguy]

Results after Day 5.

I really want to find out where Jaripeo gets his horses from Roman's Run at 20-1 following on from his nap of Deem.
And well done to Ian as well for going 4/7 with a 16-1 winner as well.


Position Name This Weeks Score Running Total

1. Jaripeo, +130 +341.59
2. Viscount26 +250 +141.25
3. Pat Cummings +5 +65
4. No Chance To Dance +90 -70
5. Stickhorse, -80 -150
6. My Miss Storm Cat -80 -176.67
7. Hickory Hill Hoff -80 -239.66
8. Peetsa -80 -240
9. Linny, 0 -255.91
10. Brockguy -70 -296.25

[my miss storm cat]

Slight chance I won't be around tomorrow and Thursday morning so just incase...

R5... JJ the Jet Plane (no alt)

If I'm around will edit it the rest.

Thanks for keeping score, Brock. Come home safe everyone.

edit - No time so I'm just playing these additional two (and switching my NAP cause JJ won't pay well enough)...

R6... Redding Colliery (NAP) (alt. Regionalista)

R7... Hattan (alt. Oracle West)

[PatCummings]

Past performances are available by clicking on the link and opening file at:

http://dubairacenight.com

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

Originally Posted by PatCummings

Past performances are available by clicking on the link and opening file at:

http://dubairacenight.com

Thanks Pat!

[PatCummings]

So much for waiting to post my picks...whatever...

Race 1 - 1 Green Coast (alt 5 Halkin)
Race 2 - 7 Naples (alt 5 Yamal)
Race 3 - 1 Familiar Territory (alt 5 Art of War)
Race 4 - 5 City Style (alt 12 Jargelle)
Race 5 - 1 J J The Jet Plane NAP (alt 4 Star Crowned)
Race 6 - 9 Redding Colliery (alt 3 Desert Party)
Race 7 - 8 Barbaricus (alt 3 Kirklees)

[NoChanceToDance]

Race 1 - Halkin (alt, Blue Sky Basin)
Race 2 - Naples (alt, Aamaaq)
Race 3 - Meydan City (alt, Mutasallil)
Race 4 - City Style (alt, Jargelle)
Race 5 - Star Crowned (alt, JJ The Jet Plane)
Race 6 - Vineyard Haven (alt, Redding Colliery)
Race 7 - Kirklees (NAP) alt, With Interest)

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

A Michael de Kock night! .....hopefully

1st) Hamlool #7 look at the win in Citizen Handicap (alt. 1)
2nd) Naples #7 (alt. 4)
3rd) Familiar Territory #1 NAP (alt. 2)
4th) Indiscutible #1 (alt. 5)
5th) Star Crowned #4 (alt. 3)
6th) Blues and Rock #7 (alt. 3)
7th) Mr. Brock #13 (alt. 3)

[brockguy]

Results after Day 6.

Able to get them up earlier than usual this week - A very good days action but I cant buy a winner at the moment . Anyway enough of me, Ian closes the gap on Jaripeo narrowly, but little change in the order at the top


Position Name This Weeks Score Running Total

1. Jaripeo, -40 +301.59
2. Viscount26 -7.92 +133.33
3. Pat Cummings -60 +5
4. No Chance To Dance -2.5 -72.5
5. Stickhorse, 0 -150
6. My Miss Storm Cat -40 -216.67
7. Linny, 0 -255.91
8. Peetsa -28 -268
9. Hickory Hill Hoff -80 -319.66
10. Brockguy -70 -366.25

[my miss storm cat]

R2... Glow Star (best bet cause Imbongi won't pay enough!) (alt. Stubbs Art)

R3... Honour Devil (alt. Little White Lie)

R4... will edit in or skip (but good luck to Instant Recall who will probably be 2nd).

R5... Team Victory (alt. Clasp)

R6... Eastern Anthem (alt. Weald)

R7... Imbongi (alt. Blue Ksar)

R8... Furnace

R9... Gravitas

Come home safe, everyone.

[NoChanceToDance]

Race 1 - Pointing North (alt, Stubbs Art)
Race 2 - Honour Devil (alt, Dijeerr)
Race 3 - Asset (alt, Buachaill Donna)
Race 4 - Team Victory (alt Moonquake)
Race 5 - Bound By Honour (alt Weald).... Giving him one more chance
Race 6 - Imbongi (alt Gladiatorus)
Race 7 - Rocks Off (NAP) (alt Seihali)...... Really fancy both of these.
Race 8 - Captain Webb (alt Gravitas)

I really struggled to choose between some of these this week. I really really like Gladiatorus, but I know just how hard it is to win from the front here, and Imbongi is the one who should come from off the pace. Two very good horses and not much splitting them for me.

Honour Devil really should win despite giving away weight, it's not a very good race.

I'm giving Pointing North and Better By Honour the benefit of the doubt for their poor previous runs. Their foreign form leaves the others with a lot to find and if they show what they're capable of, they will win, but with both yards out of form it's anyones' guess as to how they will do. Same goes for Team Victory, so I've taken a chance with these, but their previous form is by far the best on show.

Asset was very impressive last time, and the 4lb rise looks pretty lenient, with Warsaw winning well last week (well beaten behind Asset before). He's not always one to trust but he has a lot of class. I also like Instant Recall, but he often finds one too good, and he might not be able to win off his current rating. Buachaill Donna is interesting from this mark after having his pipe opener, could run well at a decent price.

Rocks Off looks a very good bet, after it was obvious he didn't relish the dirt, but even those runs were okay, finishing behind the very good Desert Party on the first start. Back on turf here, and he was a Gr1 winner in South Africa. The grand old performer Seihali could give him the most to do now he's on a very winnable mark, but he's not getting any younger.

[PatCummings]

1 - Pointing North (alt Stubbs Art)
1 - Honour Devil NAP (alt Dijeerr)
3 - Instant Recall (alt Asset)
12 - Trust N Dustan (alt Moonquake)
1 - Eastern Anthem (alt Mr. Brock)
5 - Imbongi (alt Gladiatorus)
9 - Perfect Season (alt Yamal)
9 - Captain Webb (alt Mulaqat)

I agree its a tough night, even with some smaller fields. My full analysis can be found here...

http://dubairacenight.com/dubai-raci...ht-7/#more-616

[NoChanceToDance]

What do you think to Rocks Off, Pat? I rate him as my best bet by far on tomorrows' card, but it's a bit off putting that you haven't even mentioned him I think, back on turf he will be too good for the others.

[brockguy]

Day 7 - Desperately want to have a good day here:

Race 1 - Pointing North alt Stubbs Art
Race 2 - Wingbeat alt Honour Devil
Race 3 - Instant Recall alt Asset
Race 4 - Trust N Dustan alt Moonquake
Race 5 - Sugar Ray alt Eastern Anthem
Race 6 - Summit Surge alt Gladitorus
Race 7 - Leandros NAP NAP NAP alt Yamal
Race 8 - Sanbuch alt Classic Punch

[PatCummings]

NoChance...

Rocks Off was respected last week when coming back in the 2000 Guineas but repeated his lackluster form. I'm reading into him here...so follow me...

He had good form in South Africa, with that G1 on turf for juveniles...but was clearly well-respected by DeKock when he put him in the conditions race on DIRC Night 2 (the same race won previously for the same connections as Asiatic Boy and Honour Devil). My problem is this...if DeKock really liked him (as if he was the same horse he thought he had at the beginning of the Carnival), do you really think he'd bring him back in a lower-level turf race just a week later?

Now, the reverse logic is fair - third off the layoff, dirt to turf, weight break, vulnerable field. I understand it. In my newsletter on DubaiRaceNight.com, I said that I think everyone in the field has a chance save #6 Flying Blue - so to have Rocks Off pop a big one...entirely possible.

It's a gut instinct, but I think his reappearing here is now a "let's see if he's ok and maybe he'll get his groove back (like Stella) on the turf."

I don't want my money to be part of the experiment...so I'll watch this one.

[brockguy]

Results after Day 7.


Position Name This Weeks Score Running Total

1. Jaripeo, -50 +251.59
2. Viscount26 -50 +83.33
3. Pat Cummings -52.5 -47.5
4. No Chance To Dance -90 -162.5
5. Stickhorse, 0 -150
6. My Miss Storm Cat -52.5 -269.17
7. Linny, 0 -255.91
8. Peetsa +55 -213
9. Hickory Hill Hoff -12.5 -332.16
10. Brockguy -90 -456.25

Dont forget racing again tomorrow!!

[brockguy]

Day 8 Picks

Beaver Patrol alt Dianas Choice

Dohasa NAP alt Artimino

Brave Tin Soldier alt Jonquil

Fiery Lad alt Big Rob

Two Step Salsa alt Star Crowned

Red Eye Express alt Yahrab

Front House alt Deem

I cannot believe that Razkalla is running here at 11, but Eddie Jock alt Wise Dennis


Best of Luck

[PatCummings]

2 - Diana's Choice (alt Munaddam)
3 - Prince Tamino (alt Dohasa)
13 - Noble Citizen NAP (alt Commander Cave)
1 - Fiery Lad (alt Bon Spiel)
5 - Frosty Secret (alt Star Crowned)
9 - Red Eye Express (alt Mashaahed)
1 - Deem (alt Front House)
3 - Without a Prayer (alt Wise Dennis)

[PatCummings]

Here is my full card analysis for Friday's card...

http://dubairacenight.com/dubai-raci...ht-8/#more-626

[my miss storm cat]

Will try to get back to edit in the rest...

R1... Benllech

R3... Brave Tin Soldier (alt. Jonquil)

R5... Lucky Find

R6... King's Gambit (best bet)

R7... Black Emblem (alt. Front House)

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

1st) Diana's Choice #2 (alt. 1)
2nd) Dosha #2 (alt. 4)
3rd) Commander Cave #3 (alt. 5)
4th) Firey Lad #1 (alt. 2)
5th) Two Step Salsa #2 (alt. 3)
6th) Emmrooz #8 (alt. 2)
7th) Black Emblem #3 NAP (alt. 1)
8th) Without a Prayer #3 (alt. 2)