Gulfstream Analysis - Friday 01-16-09

[GPK]

Originally Posted by thunderdan09

#12 - Dottie Booth: I would really hammer this horse at the windows if she wasn't stuck out in no man's land. Leparoux and Maker probably have the best horse in the race, but I am not sure if it can overcome the post position. It is 7 1/2 furlongs so they are going to make two full turns, but this one is going to really have to hustle to get where she wants to be.

Dan, be careful with what you are saying about the outside post. So far this meet there have been 15 turf races carded at 7 1/2 furlongs or 1 mile, both which start relatively close to the turn. Of those 15 races, 47% (7 winners) have come from post 8 and wider.

Post 8: 3 winners
Post 9: 1 winner
Post 10: 1 winner (2nd and 3rd place finishers were from the 12 and 15 hole)
Post 12: 2 winners

There have been 13 turf races at 1 1/16 and 38% (5 winners)have come from post 8 and wider

Post 8: 1 winner
Post 9: 1 winner
Post 11: 1 winner
Post 12: 1 winner (3rd place finisher from 14 hole)
Post 16: 1 winner (3rd place finisher from 15 hole)



Don't talk yourself off a horse just becuase the outside post. It's not near the disadvantage you think it is.