Tips/Thoughts on Breeders' Cup tickets this year?

[The Bid]

He wont run worse than 3rd. He had a trouble trip in the Derby, and had to be stopped on due to the fever leading up. Hes too honest a horse to discount in any field. Those who do play exotics and discount him will shake their head at the end of the day

Hes very live, they are all very live. There is noway for any of us to know how these horses will take to this surface. Id rather die on a horse giving me an effort at a long price than a middle priced horse that we do not know about