Worst BC favorite?

banter · #1 09-30-2008, 12:51 PM

Yeah, the BC Mile has a record of puzzling bettors. Gorella went off in '06 as the 3/1 lukewarm favorite, even though everyone knew how vulnerable she was.

brianwspencer · #2 09-30-2008, 01:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by banter

Yeah, the BC Mile has a record of puzzling bettors. Gorella went off in '06 as the 3/1 lukewarm favorite, even though everyone knew how vulnerable she was.

Wasn't Araafa the favorite that day?

Either way, I totally agree. The Mile is always the toughest for me to figure out and the public seems to have the same problem.

GPK · #3 09-30-2008, 01:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

Wasn't Araafa the favorite that day?

Either way, I totally agree. The Mile is always the toughest for me to figure out and the public seems to have the same problem.

yea...3-1. Aragorn was 4-1

cakes44 · #4 09-30-2008, 01:31 PM

This sounds bad after he won the year after, but IMO Artie Schiller had no business being the favorite in the Mile at Lone Star in 2004.

VOL JACK · #5 09-30-2008, 01:52 PM

The bad fav this year will be whoever is favored in the sprint... Lute or Fab strike would be my guess.

lemoncrush · #6 10-01-2008, 09:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VOL JACK

The bad fav this year will be whoever is favored in the sprint... Lute or Fab strike would be my guess.

Street Boss will be the M/L favorite, and I assume postt ime fave this year. No chance Lute or Fab Strike will be favored with the campaigns (or lack of campaigns) they've had this year, despite their reputations.

VOL JACK · #7 10-02-2008, 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush

Street Boss will be the M/L favorite, and I assume postt ime fave this year. No chance Lute or Fab Strike will be favored with the campaigns (or lack of campaigns) they've had this year, despite their reputations.

Street Boss may be the ML fav but if Fab Strike & Lute run the public will be betting those huge Beyers in their PP's. You can book it.

banter · #8 09-30-2008, 01:58 PM

Yes, I checked the BC stats, and it was Araafa (finished 9th) that went off at 3/1. Gorella (finished 7th) was second favorite at 7/2.

Indian Charlie · #9 09-30-2008, 02:09 PM

I've never been more sure of a favorite losing a race as I was with Rubiano in the 1992 sprint.

Indian Charlie · #10 09-30-2008, 02:14 PM

oh, and groovy against very subtle, that had to be the least likely win by a favorite in BC history.

banter · #11 09-30-2008, 02:11 PM

What about Riboletta in the '00 Distaff? Left the gate at 2/5 and finished 7th in a 9-horse field. Spain was the winner at about 55/1 (whoo, I would have liked some of that action).

RolloTomasi · #12 09-30-2008, 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by banter

What about Riboletta in the '00 Distaff? Left the gate at 2/5 and finished 7th in a 9-horse field. Spain was the winner at about 55/1 (whoo, I would have liked some of that action).

Riboletta was a desrving favorite. She got injured in the Distaff from what was reported.

cakes44 · #13 09-30-2008, 02:28 PM

Cuvee from the 12 hole at 8-5 I think, 1st time around 2 turns, and a son of Carson City was a solid toss in '03 as well. He finished last I believe.

ELA · #14 10-01-2008, 10:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44

Cuvee from the 12 hole at 8-5 I think, 1st time around 2 turns, and a son of Carson City was a solid toss in '03 as well. He finished last I believe.

Cuvee was the favorite, 8-5, maybe 3-2, I don't remember. Although I tossed him, on paper he was appeared to be one of the strongest favorites; primarily because there were several horses where the connections just decided not to run. Well they don't run the race on paper. I think a lot of the expected contenders didn't run as expected in their final preps. Pletcher had Chapel Royal, but I am not sure if he any others in there, and he was pretty heavy in 2yo's that year. Zito as well.

Cuvee was coming off two impressive wins if I remember correctly, but he screamed sprinter and I don't think anyone was enthusiastic about him stretching out (Asmussen and Bailey). I don't remember who it was, but I think only one horse in the field had a two turn win. Anyway, Cuvee was last, but he got beat about 100 lengths and walked across the wire.

Eric