FBI investigating for fraud at Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman Brothers and AIG

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by docicu3

Not that I am a complete simpleton but exactly what constitutes a bogus or fraudulent mortgage contract and how do they benefit a bank. If you can't pay for the damn thing doesn't it end up as bad debt for the bank. What's the deal here??

Scuds is right and that was a portion of it. But there is a bigger part of it.

Securitization combined with deregulation combined with complex financial instruments equalled lack of transparency with no responsibility. In plain English?

In the past if someone wanted a mortgage, he would go to the bank and get a loan and send his payments to that bank every month. It was the George Bailey/Mr. Potter relationship like on Its a wonderful life. Securitization changed that.

In the age of securitization, you go to a bank to get a loan. That loan is then packaged and pooled and sold to investors in a mortgage backed security. The type of MBS (mortgage backed security) that are getting all of the attention right now are CDO's (collateralized debt obligation). Without going into too deep of an explanation, CDO's allowed crappy loans to be mixed in with qaulity loans in a way. At the end of the day, the liablity was passed on to unwitting investors who had no idea what they were buying. The originator of the loan (the bank) really didnt care if the loan performed or not because ultimately they didnt own the loan anymore as it was sold in a pool right after it closed. The bottom line idea was that A. there was little risk because values were going up. B. Whatever risk there was, it was someone else's. Risk was passed off till it eventually ended up at the end of the Ponzi scheme and into the hands of the poor investor(s) that wanted a "safe" return with a good yield.

So you ask why would a bank want to do a fraudulent loan? In simple English, it was good profit and they thought they would never have to pay the piper. Wall St. aided and abetted by creating products that just asked for fraud. Ninja loans to 100%? No income, no asset, NO JOB verification with no money down. It didnt matter...it was someone else's money.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

Scuds is right and that was a portion of it. But there is a bigger part of it.

Securitization combined with deregulation combined with complex financial instruments equalled lack of transparency with no responsibility. In plain English?

In the past if someone wanted a mortgage, he would go to the bank and get a loan and send his payments to that bank every month. It was the George Bailey/Mr. Potter relationship like on Its a wonderful life. Securitization changed that.

In the age of securitization, you go to a bank to get a loan. That loan is then packaged and pooled and sold to investors in a mortgage backed security. The type of MBS (mortgage backed security) that are getting all of the attention right now are CDO's (collateralized debt obligation). Without going into too deep of an explanation, CDO's allowed crappy loans to be mixed in with qaulity loans in a way. At the end of the day, the liablity was passed on to unwitting investors who had no idea what they were buying. The originator of the loan (the bank) really didnt care if the loan performed or not because ultimately they didnt own the loan anymore as it was sold in a pool right after it closed. The bottom line idea was that A. there was little risk because values were going up. B. Whatever risk there was, it was someone else's. Risk was passed off till it eventually ended up at the end of the Ponzi scheme and into the hands of the poor investor(s) that wanted a "safe" return with a good yield.

So you ask why would a bank want to do a fraudulent loan? In simple English, it was good profit and they thought they would never have to pay the piper. Wall St. aided and abetted by creating products that just asked for fraud. Ninja loans to 100%? No income, no asset, NO JOB verification with no money down. It didnt matter...it was someone else's money.

Wow...thanks for the clarification.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by GPK

Wow...thanks for the clarification.

It actually goes so far beyond what i described especially with the CDO part but I am not smart enough to explain it in less than a book.

I do want to add that not nearly all of the problems are due to fraud. I would say a good portion of our problems were based on what Scuds touched on which was faulty risk assessment.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

It actually goes so far beyond what i described especially with the CDO part but I am not smart enough to explain it in less than a book.

I do want to add that not nearly all of the problems are due to fraud. I would say a good portion of our problems were based on what Scuds touched on which was faulty risk assessment.

Help me out with this one. What part is all those loans where the first 5 years were interest only that people were getting playing in this? Knew some people that went that route and all I could do was shake my head at the time.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by GPK

Help me out with this one. What part is all those loans where the first 5 years were interest only that people were getting playing in this? Knew some people that went that route and all I could do was shake my head at the time.

It plays a part but a.r.m resets arent as big of a deal as people thought it would be because most are based on LIBOR and that hasnt adjusted terribly. Libor is the index most arms switched to back in the early part of the decade. When an A.R.M (adjustable rate mortgage) "adjusts", its based on an index plus a margin. Most arms used Libor as an index and used a margin of 2.25%. So, fully indexed, the new rate is only 5.25% if it were adjsusting today. Thats not a bad rate and people can still "hang on" with the adjustment. The people that are having the problems are ones who qualified based on the interest only payment at 4%. Those people shouldnt have been buying in the first place. Again, it was systemic. Wall St. created these products, loan officers/brokers sold the product and many a customer (some knowing the risk and some NOT) bit off on the chance to buy into a real estate market that was returning up to 50% yearly.

The lowest rates for arms were between 2003-05. Five year arms are adjusting this year and seven year arms from 03 in 2010. The 2003 vintage probably have equity built in. The 2005 vintage will present yet another shoe dropping as that was the top of the market and there is no equity to refinance. Hopefully, the market will stabilize by then.

Most of the REALLY toxic stuff is already on the table meaning already in foreclosure or already foreclosed upon. I mean the subprime when i say that. The rest of the subprime will be DONE by spring of 2009 as most were done in 2 year arms and spring of 2007 was the end of those products.
Speculators are pretty much done and the rush will subside with them in the coming months as it already has been.

Interest only loans are NOT bad loans...for the right people. This is NOT a new instrument. They have been around for years but only used by the rich in the past. What people dont talk about and get lumped in with interest only are the Option Arms which are negatively amortizing. Many of those come do in the next year.

Option Arms are going to present a real challenge IF rates start to go up in the next two years.

[timmgirvan]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

It plays a part but a.r.m resets arent as big of a deal as people thought it would be because most are based on LIBOR and that hasnt adjusted terribly. Libor is the index most arms switched to back in the early part of the decade. When an A.R.M (adjustable rate mortgage) "adjusts", its based on an index plus a margin. Most arms used Libor as an index and used a margin of 2.25%. So, fully indexed, the new rate is only 5.25% if it were adjsusting today. Thats not a bad rate and people can still "hang on" with the adjustment. The people that are having the problems are ones who qualified based on the interest only payment at 4%. Those people shouldnt have been buying in the first place. Again, it was systemic. Wall St. created these products, loan officers/brokers sold the product and many a customer (some knowing the risk and some NOT) bit off on the chance to buy into a real estate market that was returning up to 50% yearly.

The lowest rates for arms were between 2003-05. Five year arms are adjusting this year and seven year arms from 03 in 2010. The 2003 vintage probably have equity built in. The 2005 vintage will present yet another shoe dropping as that was the top of the market and there is no equity to refinance. Hopefully, the market will stabilize by then.

Most of the REALLY toxic stuff is already on the table meaning already in foreclosure or already foreclosed upon. I mean the subprime when i say that. The rest of the subprime will be DONE by spring of 2009 as most were done in 2 year arms and spring of 2007 was the end of those products.
Speculators are pretty much done and the rush will subside with them in the coming months as it already has been.

Interest only loans are NOT bad loans...for the right people. This is NOT a new instrument. They have been around for years but only used by the rich in the past. What people dont talk about and get lumped in with interest only are the Option Arms which are negatively amortizing. Many of those come do in the next year.

Option Arms are going to present a real challenge IF rates start to go up in the next two years.

Churn 'em,baby!

[wiphan]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

It plays a part but a.r.m resets arent as big of a deal as people thought it would be because most are based on LIBOR and that hasnt adjusted terribly. Libor is the index most arms switched to back in the early part of the decade. When an A.R.M (adjustable rate mortgage) "adjusts", its based on an index plus a margin. Most arms used Libor as an index and used a margin of 2.25%. So, fully indexed, the new rate is only 5.25% if it were adjsusting today. Thats not a bad rate and people can still "hang on" with the adjustment. The people that are having the problems are ones who qualified based on the interest only payment at 4%. Those people shouldnt have been buying in the first place. Again, it was systemic. Wall St. created these products, loan officers/brokers sold the product and many a customer (some knowing the risk and some NOT) bit off on the chance to buy into a real estate market that was returning up to 50% yearly.

The lowest rates for arms were between 2003-05. Five year arms are adjusting this year and seven year arms from 03 in 2010. The 2003 vintage probably have equity built in. The 2005 vintage will present yet another shoe dropping as that was the top of the market and there is no equity to refinance. Hopefully, the market will stabilize by then.

Most of the REALLY toxic stuff is already on the table meaning already in foreclosure or already foreclosed upon. I mean the subprime when i say that. The rest of the subprime will be DONE by spring of 2009 as most were done in 2 year arms and spring of 2007 was the end of those products.
Speculators are pretty much done and the rush will subside with them in the coming months as it already has been.

Interest only loans are NOT bad loans...for the right people. This is NOT a new instrument. They have been around for years but only used by the rich in the past. What people dont talk about and get lumped in with interest only are the Option Arms which are negatively amortizing. Many of those come do in the next year.

Option Arms are going to present a real challenge IF rates start to go up in the next two years.

You sound like a well educated, responsible fellow mortgage lender. All of your points are spot on. Fortunately I work for a responsible lender that chose not to offer option ARMs (probably the only responsible large lender in the industry). What amazes me is that recently I have heard of other lenders still offering mortgages that they should not be doing especially in times like today. Unfortunately there needs to be a ton of regulation especially against mortgage brokers and irresponsible institutions. I am never a fan of more regulation, but it needs to happen unfortunately. About 2 yrs ago we were joking asking when some one was going to offer a stated FICO loan.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by wiphan

You sound like a well educated, responsible fellow mortgage lender. All of your points are spot on. Fortunately I work for a responsible lender that chose not to offer option ARMs (probably the only responsible large lender in the industry). What amazes me is that recently I have heard of other lenders still offering mortgages that they should not be doing especially in times like today. Unfortunately there needs to be a ton of regulation especially against mortgage brokers and irresponsible institutions. I am never a fan of more regulation, but it needs to happen unfortunately. About 2 yrs ago we were joking asking when some one was going to offer a stated FICO loan.

I work for a small bank and one of my duties (when we actually had money!) was risk assesment for a tiny set of portfolio products that we had along with cherry picking a select group of notes that we wanted to keep. let me tell you that when its your signature signing off on the risk, that pen gets a ton heavier. Needless to say, our portfolio products had guidelines that most lenders would just laugh at because they were so strict. Although even the clean loans weigh on banks during this liquidity crisis, at least they aren't actual losses.

Regulation needs to be tighter on the broker/lender level but at the same time they need not go overboard. I think the market is really doing the Fed's work in terms of regulation in the mortgage industry. How easy is it to cheat now? You want to use a lease? Fine...show us the cancelled rent check and demonstrate equity. You want to inflate an appraisal? Fine...we are going to run a corelogic and then perhaps a review before we buy your note. The market is dictating all of this. The feds havent done anything yet. But you probably have a point in terms of weeding out the bad apples.

I dont think Option Arms are necessarily a bad product but again, there is only a tiny segment of the population that it could work well for. Option Arms were indeed the crack cocaine in recent years because they were profitable to every rung of the ladder. Now? You should see the execution on Option Arms. No one wants them. The government doesnt need to ban them because the market already has. That, along with low documentation and high LTV's. The market doesnt want them thus you cant sell them.

My God...you republicans out there are probably having a heart attack. Maybe this liberal, democrat wench might have a few conservative ideas yet.

The stated Fico thing is hilarious. By saying that you didnt offer any neg am, it is easy to figure who you work for. The only risks you took were on seconds and community housing iniatives that the govt forced your hand on.