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  #11  
Old 08-31-2008, 09:43 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I'm going to assume you are trolling me and not serious.

McCain is obviously not trying to cash a bet. He took Palin because he thought she would give him the best chance to win. The offshore betting lines and exchange markets are a better overall indicator of probability than anything else.

McCain simply took a gamble and it has backfired on him. Had he been able to move from the 7/5-to-3/2 range into the even money-to-6/5 range with his VP pick - I would have called it a brilliant move on his part even though I personally don't like Palin at all.
I am trolling you?
I thought I posted an opinion and you rejected it based on
betting odds which I totally understand, but you did not
prove anything about the odds with Romney, which was
the candidate I had made the comparison with.

And again, the exchange markets...?
Relevance?
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