Big Brown headed to Monmouth

[ArlJim78]

this year alone, there are seven horses that have run bigger route beyers than Big Brown. i guess thats all it takes these days for people to fall all over themselves in order to heap on the praise.

[RollerDoc]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

this year alone, there are seven horses that have run bigger route beyers than Big Brown. i guess thats all it takes these days for people to fall all over themselves in order to heap on the praise.

Not being smart Jm, but is it possible that during the Secretariat, Seattle Slew, and Affirmed years that other horses clocked bigger route Beyers?

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by RollerDoc

Not being smart Jm, but is it possible that during the Secretariat, Seattle Slew, and Affirmed years that other horses clocked bigger route Beyers?

Uhh no.

[Cannon Shell]

Simply using Beyers as a measure, Big Brown is not only not great he is on the low side of fair when compared to true good horses of recent past. He is the most accomplished three year old but in this weak crop where no one else has grabbed the reins to even be clearly second best there is just not much to be excited about. He is like Todd Hollandsworth as the NL rookie of the year in 1996, nice season and best of a limited crop but far from a real bright light. The weakness of the older horses also plays a factor here in that seemingly Curlin is the only real top older horse. If a few of the top horses from last year had stayed in training and progressed as 4 year olds there would be 4 or 5 horses that would be superior to BB as opposed to just Curlin.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

Simply using Beyers as a measure, Big Brown is not only not great he is on the low side of fair when compared to true good horses of recent past. He is the most accomplished three year old but in this weak crop where no one else has grabbed the reins to even be clearly second best there is just not much to be excited about. He is like Todd Hollandsworth as the NL rookie of the year in 1996, nice season and best of a limited crop but far from a real bright light. The weakness of the older horses also plays a factor here in that seemingly Curlin is the only real top older horse. If a few of the top horses from last year had stayed in training and progressed as 4 year olds there would be 4 or 5 horses that would be superior to BB as opposed to just Curlin.

Beyer is just one measure. How do his Rag or sheet number compare?

If looked in this context perhaps he jumps from Hollandsworth to maybe Jeter.

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

Beyer is just one measure. How do his Rag or sheet number compare?

If looked in this context perhaps he jumps from Hollandsworth to maybe Jeter.

Sheets are useless with historical comparisons because they are running higher numbers in 5 claimers now than it took to win the Derby 15 years ago. The scale they use is much lower than it used to be.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

Sheets are useless with historical comparisons because they are running higher numbers in 5 claimers now than it took to win the Derby 15 years ago. The scale they use is much lower than it used to be.

Regarldless, didnt Rag say that Big Brown's derby was the best since Secretariat and that his prep in the Fla Derby was one of the best ky derby preps ever?

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

Sheets are useless with historical comparisons because they are running higher numbers in 5 claimers now than it took to win the Derby 15 years ago. The scale they use is much lower than it used to be.

Especially if they run at Laurel/Pimlico/Delaware, crazy insane numbers out of there.

[RollerDoc]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

Uhh no.

Never? Not one?

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by RollerDoc

Never? Not one?

Comparing those horses with big brown is punishable by public flogging in several countries

[RollerDoc]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

Comparing those horses with big brown is punishable by public flogging in several countries

I wasn't comparing Big Brown to them. I was just trying to find out if the horses that are tops in their field for that particular year also have better beyers?

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by RollerDoc

I wasn't comparing Big Brown to them. I was just trying to find out if the horses that are tops in their field for that particular year also have better beyers?

They didnt have public beyer numbers for those horses but Andy beyer has said in one of his books that he gave Secretariat a 139 for the Belmont. a horse like Sensitve Prince who was probably the third best 3 year old in the Affirmed/Alydar year would pretty much smoke any of the horses that could be considered the second or third best 3 year old this year.