Thursday Belmont-Churchill

[jcs11204]

second horrible day in a row... i loved lukas at churchill with the firster and lost a lot of money on him.... i know the guy does not win like he used to, hes only something like 4% with firsters... but at 6-1 i felt like i had to bet him. what a mistake

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by jcs11204

second horrible day in a row... i loved lukas at churchill with the firster and lost a lot of money on him.... i know the guy does not win like he used to, hes only something like 4% with firsters... but at 6-1 i felt like i had to bet him. what a mistake

6-1's a low number to take in a baby race with a bunch of firsters for me unless you have reliable info - if there is such a thing. . . especially when it's Lukas. And i usually look for horses who have had 5F works (except certain trainers don't work horses that long for their debuts and still do ok).

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

I'm curious. Unless you actually knew someone reputable that would give you info on 2 year olds and firsters, why would you make a big bet on a first time starter? But, add to it that it was a Lukas 2 year old that was cold on the board? It just doesn't make much sense.

im curious also at this point... i thought i was getting value, and for maybe 3 seconds i thought he looked strong, then empty.