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  #1  
Old 05-29-2008, 03:00 PM
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justindew justindew is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
Really?
I would say there is a better than 4.7% chance he wins by more than 10 lengths.
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Old 05-29-2008, 03:43 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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I wouldn't.
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Old 05-29-2008, 03:56 PM
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lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
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If this is real, , the funniest thing is they list Ready's Image at 50-1.
Ready's Image should be 1,000,000 - 1, because he's a sprinter that's not even pointing to this race.
Ready's Echo, is the horse they are referring to, I assume.
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Old 05-29-2008, 04:22 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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I think betting against him running faster than Affirmed is a pretty safe bet.

In the last fifty years, the winner has broken 2:27 in this race only seven times. Six of those horses were Secretariat, Affirmed, Risen Star, Easy Goer, AP Indy, and Point Given.

Since Big Brown isn't in the same class as those animals, I expect he'll be slower than 2:27....unless the track happens to be lighting fast.
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Old 05-29-2008, 04:32 PM
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ManilaRose ManilaRose is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by justindew
I would say there is a better than 4.7% chance he wins by more than 10 lengths.
I agree totally. I'm not predicting he'll win by 10 or more, but I don't see how it would be a shocker considering this group he's running against and the fact that it isn't uncommon for the Belmont to be won by a fairly large margin. In fact, I'd say there are only 2 horses that have much of a chance to finish within 10 lengths of him.
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