PREAKNESS: Field drops to 12 with Behind demuring

[IrishofNDMan]

Am I crazy for thinking Giant Moon will hit the board?

[blackthroatedwind]

I wouldn't use the word crazy but it might be a convenient excuse.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan

Am I crazy for thinking Giant Moon will hit the board?

He's pretty slow. Would need a total meltdown and I don't think that's going to happen.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by philcski

He's pretty slow. Would need a total meltdown and I don't think that's going to happen.

He's not a closer..

[philcski]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

He's not a closer..

Not a CHANCE he makes the lead in here so he'll be closing from midpack whether he likes it or not.

Maybe meltdown was a kind description, now that i think of it...

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by philcski

Not a CHANCE he makes the lead in here so he'll be closing from midpack whether he likes it or not.

Maybe meltdown was a kind description, now that i think of it...

My point was that there are many horses in the race that would need a pace meltdown to have a shot, but Giant Moon isn't one of them. Not saying I like him, just that a pace meltdown wouldn't be the ideal setup for him.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

My point was that there are many horses in the race that would need a pace meltdown to have a shot, but Giant Moon isn't one of them. Not saying I like him, just that a pace meltdown wouldn't be the ideal setup for him.

I don't know what the ideal setup for him is, which usually means I don't think he's got a shot. He's also been saddled with PG1985.

[jmj934]

am I reaching when i think Tres Borraches could hit the board. I just dont see anybody coming to get him on the lead except for Big Brown, and maybe someone else.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by jmj934

am I reaching when i think Tres Borraches could hit the board. I just dont see anybody coming to get him on the lead except for Big Brown, and maybe someone else.

Taking a speed to fill out exotics in a race like this is probably a mistake. At some point, Big Brown will take complete control of this race, and that in all likelihood will discourage anyone fighting it out in front, and set the table for one of the slow clunkers ( like Racecar Rhapsody ) to suck into a filler position.

That, and Tres Borraches is particularly weak.

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Taking a speed to fill out exotics in a race like this is probably a mistake. At some point, Big Brown will take complete control of this race, and that in all likelihood will discourage anyone fighting it out in front, and set the table for one of the slow clunkers ( like Racecar Rhapsody ) to suck into a filler position.

That, and Tres Borraches is particularly weak.

The problem is that could be said for pretty much the entire field, save Big Brown.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

The problem is that could be said for pretty much the entire field, save Big Brown.

When I used the word " particularly " I was suggesting even relative to this field.

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

When I used the word " particularly " I was suggesting even relative to this field.

lol.. it's all relative for the new shooters in this field!

[jmj934]

That was my logic when considering the field. I think Tres Borrachos will get out on the lead, and nobody (other than big brown, and another horse) will catch him and possibly he can hold on for third. i don't know though