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Old 05-02-2008, 08:30 PM
JJP JJP is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
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Anyone who thinks Z Fortune will be 30-1 (i.e. Plonk) knows NOTHING about making a morning line. I would not be shocked to see Z Fortune at odds lower than 10-1. Comparing his past perfs against Colonel John, I don't know how Colonel John figures to be bet much lower. That's a head scratcher to me.
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Old 05-02-2008, 09:40 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JJP
Anyone who thinks Z Fortune will be 30-1 (i.e. Plonk) knows NOTHING about making a morning line. I would not be shocked to see Z Fortune at odds lower than 10-1. Comparing his past perfs against Colonel John, I don't know how Colonel John figures to be bet much lower. That's a head scratcher to me.
Whoa. 15-1 at the LOWEST.
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Old 05-02-2008, 09:53 PM
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brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
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Hey I know Welsch is one of the best at this type of thing -- but Plonk is no slouch. He's one of the few people I listen to every year to key me in on how the boys look on the track since I can't get down there.

He's really one of the better, more insightful public handicappers out there and a really sharp guy.
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