Adriano is in

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

I dont care what his breeding says. He has one dirt race and it was dismal. What you are asking for is the horse to run the best race of his life in the biggest race of his life on a surface that he has shown no affinity for. Regardless of the confusion over the different surfaces this is still a real longshot. Not to mention his nervous nature that surely wont be eased by 140000 screaming fans. His connections have Derby fever so nothing they do or say should effect your perception of the horses chances in a positive way. Or maybe you buy into that half mile in 50 was so outstanding that he just has to love the dirt?

He broke from the 12 post at Gulfstream in that one dirt race so there could be a reasonable excuse for the poor performance. Worth noting that Prado is picking this one over the winners of the Blue Grass and the Wood Memorial. That has to say that Prado thinks the horse will be alright at Churchill. He wouldn't be among my top choices but considering the odds he'll go off at on Derby Day he may offer some value.