Adriano is in

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

http://drf.com/news/article/93699.html

Good to see he is in the race. Will be a decent price and will have my money for the top spot. He is coming into the race fresh and will love the distance. He is my pick for the derby.

WHAT makes him different from cowboy cal ?

[Cannon Shell]

Quick picks are an easy way to bet

[eajinabi]

Cowboy Cal ran well, maybe too well in the Blue Grass. To run a race better or equal than that in less than three weeks in a race called the Kentucky derby is asking a lot in my opinion.

[Cannon Shell]

In my opinion I would tend to side with horses that have shown ability on the dirt for a dirt race. But that's just me.

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

In my opinion I would tend to side with horses that have shown ability on the dirt for a dirt race. But that's just me.

are you ignoring my question ?

[eajinabi]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

In my opinion I would tend to side with horses that have shown ability on the dirt for a dirt race. But that's just me.

Its not like Adriano is sired by Danehill or Nureyev. He is by AP Indy. His FOY was a flop, yes, but does that mean he does not like dirt?? If his connections felt that way then whats the point even attempting the derby?
I am taking a longshot here and putting him on top of my list to win it.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

Its not like Adriano is sired by Danehill or Nureyev. He is by AP Indy. His FOY was a flop, yes, but does that mean he does not like dirt?? If his connections felt that way then whats the point even attempting the derby?
I am taking a longshot here and putting him on top of my list to win it.

It's called derby fever. . . Why do you think they kept him on the turf for so long?

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

Its not like Adriano is sired by Danehill or Nureyev. He is by AP Indy. His FOY was a flop, yes, but does that mean he does not like dirt?? If his connections felt that way then whats the point even attempting the derby?
I am taking a longshot here and putting him on top of my list to win it.

I dont care what his breeding says. He has one dirt race and it was dismal. What you are asking for is the horse to run the best race of his life in the biggest race of his life on a surface that he has shown no affinity for. Regardless of the confusion over the different surfaces this is still a real longshot. Not to mention his nervous nature that surely wont be eased by 140000 screaming fans. His connections have Derby fever so nothing they do or say should effect your perception of the horses chances in a positive way. Or maybe you buy into that half mile in 50 was so outstanding that he just has to love the dirt?

[Linny]

I see him as a grass horse who's owners see a chaotic Derby scene and figure "What the hell?" From my vantage it is crazy but I have never been close to having a colt with nice breeding for 10f who is eligible for the Derby...
If this was a more "normal" year with a couple of very clear leaders, they might pass. In a year like this when so many wildcards keep turning, I guess they seem to figure that they must take a shot.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

I dont care what his breeding says. He has one dirt race and it was dismal. What you are asking for is the horse to run the best race of his life in the biggest race of his life on a surface that he has shown no affinity for. Regardless of the confusion over the different surfaces this is still a real longshot. Not to mention his nervous nature that surely wont be eased by 140000 screaming fans. His connections have Derby fever so nothing they do or say should effect your perception of the horses chances in a positive way. Or maybe you buy into that half mile in 50 was so outstanding that he just has to love the dirt?

He broke from the 12 post at Gulfstream in that one dirt race so there could be a reasonable excuse for the poor performance. Worth noting that Prado is picking this one over the winners of the Blue Grass and the Wood Memorial. That has to say that Prado thinks the horse will be alright at Churchill. He wouldn't be among my top choices but considering the odds he'll go off at on Derby Day he may offer some value.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by eajinabi

Cowboy Cal ran well, maybe too well in the Blue Grass. To run a race better or equal than that in less than three weeks in a race called the Kentucky derby is asking a lot in my opinion.

WHAT?!

And I agree with Chuck . . .