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Old 04-14-2008, 09:45 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
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Picking the horse most likely to win this year is easy, IMO. It's Big Brown. Anyone disagree with that? I'd gladly take Big Brown in a head-to-head (win only) matchup against any other horse.

Finding a horse to bet on is another story. I doubt Big Brown's Derby odds will be attractive. TheGreek has him at 3.05-1 in a future right now. If you factor in the chance he doesn't even make the starting gate, it's about like getting 5-2 on Derby Day. Not enough, IMO.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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Old 04-14-2008, 09:48 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
Picking the horse most likely to win this year is easy, IMO. It's Big Brown. Anyone disagree with that? I'd gladly take Big Brown in a head-to-head (win only) matchup against any other horse.

Finding a horse to bet on is another story. I doubt Big Brown's Derby odds will be attractive. TheGreek has him at 3.05-1 in a future right now. If you factor in the chance he doesn't even make the starting gate, it's about like getting 5-2 on Derby Day. Not enough, IMO.

--Dunbar
I agree with that. If he runs like he has its his race hands down. You can't say that about any other horse.
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Old 04-14-2008, 10:01 AM
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lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
Randwyck
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
I agree with that. If he runs like he has its his race hands down. You can't say that about any other horse.
I agree, as well. Based strictly on talent, I'd take him over any other horse in the field.
The problem is not only getting fair odds, but the much-talked about lack of experience and conditioning.
Maybe the rest of this crop is so lackluster that Big Brown will be able to overcome it?
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  #4  
Old 04-14-2008, 07:58 PM
pgardn
 
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He still has some works to get in.
Those magic ruby slipper shoes
better keep working.
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