Electrify and Big Brown

[slotdirt]

I'd definitely agree it's feasible, but probable? I'm just thinking back to all the blowout Derby prep winners of the last five years who, for the most part, ran like absolute nags in the Derby.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

Yeah, in terms of betting the Derby, I suppose thinking he will not reproduce the effort makes sense. I guess I was more curious how his effort in the Florida Derby could be described as anything but impressive. What more could he have done besides break the track record?

Yeah, and those track records at Gulfstream are so prestigious. Are there any left from before the reconfiguration?

[slotdirt]

Well, there was no arguing in 2006 that Sinister Minister's Blue Grass was awfully darn impressive, yet we all knew the horse had no chance come Derby day.

[slotdirt]

Though Sinister Minister might not be the best example. As DrugS said yesterday, I think Bellamy Road is a much more apt comparison to Big Brown.

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Though Sinister Minister might not be the best example. As DrugS said yesterday, I think Bellamy Road is a much more apt comparison to Big Brown.

Didn't Bellamy Road come out of the Derby with an injury? Regardless, there have also been plenty of horses who ran superb preps and did repeat form in the Derby. Thinking of War Emblem and Charismatic, off the top of my head.

Last year many thought Street Sense would be a Derby toss after his huge BC Juvenile win.

--Dunbar

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Didn't Bellamy Road come out of the Derby with an injury? Regardless, there have also been plenty of horses who ran superb preps and did repeat form in the Derby. Thinking of War Emblem and Charismatic, off the top of my head.

Last year many thought Street Sense would be a Derby toss after his huge BC Juvenile win.

--Dunbar

Yeah, he popped a splint if I remember correctly.

[alysheba4]

the horse is a freak..........he looks like another sunday silence. just think if he breaks from a great post derby day.......he runs away and hides.

[eajinabi]

Well going :22.76 and :45.83 alone is different than going the same pace in tandem with other horses. He will have company in the KY Derby if he sticks to his early speed. The good thing about this horse is that he can rate and win as a stalker as well. His FL Derby win looks to me an all-out effort and probably wont duplicate it in Kentucky. We have seen remarkable derby prep wins and flops in the derby in the past.

[slotdirt]

I do; see my post after that one.

He's a nice horse that had a big race.

I can't get all goo goo gah gah over him due to the trainer. If you add a top hat, monocle, tuxedo, umbrella and cigarette with the holder, you've got a spitting image of The Penguin. With the laugh to boot.

[slotdirt]

I think the race was clearly impressive. Nothing to argue with there.