3/29 (GP): 57th Florida Derby (Gr. I)

[Bobby Fischer]

It all depends on Fierce Wind.
He has gate quickness and route speed and the ideal post. The next closest speed is gate7.

How much will BB Frank and Face The Cat fight him for the lead? How game will Fierce Wind be?

If Fierce Wind runs a strong effort, everyone else has to work very hard.

If Fierce Wind weakens, Elysium Fields or Big Brown can cruise up to even terms, and still have horse left.

[hockey2315]

What don't you like about Smooth Air, Scav?

[Scav]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

What don't you like about Smooth Air, Scav?

I just think there are better horses in the race. I don't think he gets the distance and he just isn't fast enough right now. Who did he really beat in the Hutcheson? I can't recall the trip he got but my guess it was a good one

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by Scav

I just think there are better horses in the race. I don't think he gets the distance and he just isn't fast enough right now. Who did he really beat in the Hutcheson? I can't recall the trip he got but my guess it was a good one

But doesn't he have a tactical advantage? With all those horses trapped outside he should work out a better trip than them. . . He might not have to be better than them. Also, his last race at GP was very impressive and I think he's better bred for the distance than people realize.

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

But doesn't he have a tactical advantage? With all those horses trapped outside he should work out a better trip than them. . . He might not have to be better than them. Also, his last race at GP was very impressive and I think he's better bred for the distance than people realize.

I was skeptical of Smooth Air too, at first. I don't think the distance will be an issue, especially breaking for the 2 post. His connections have obviously been pointing to this race, and his work pattern is pretty impressive.
2 straight breezes going a mile, followed by a 7F work, followed by a bullet
5F work on Tuesday. He looks as fit as can be, and has a legititimate shot to hit the board. If the track is wet, he moves up even more.

[hockey2315]

According to the DRF entries Gulfstream doesn't have a PK4 on Saturday. . .

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

According to the DRF entries Gulfstream doesn't have a PK4 on Saturday. . .

That would be odd... What would be the reason for that?

EDIT- Looks like they're having a 50 cent pick 6. Do they normally do this?
Maybe they're marketing that wager, and feel the pot will be bigger without the Pick 4.

EDIT - again. DRF now shows the Pick 4 going races 9-12.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

According to the DRF entries Gulfstream doesn't have a PK4 on Saturday. . .

They have two listed now. . . One starting in Race 5 and one in Race 9. . .