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  #1  
Old 03-21-2008, 09:58 AM
Payson Dave's Avatar
Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
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As of yet, I have not settled on who I'm betting in the Derby...as Sniper said, they all seem to have some pretty big questions to answer between now and the First Saturday in May....There has been a lot of discussion involving the comparison of this crop of 3YO's (or a horse from this crop) to previous year's crops....More appropriately there has also been a lot of discussion involving the merits of the individuals colts within this years crop...As handicappers/horseplayers we will all be trying to form an opinion as to who will have the best chances of winning on Derby Day...

Out of curiousity,,, Steve,Drugs,Hossy,Coach,Hooves,Scavs,Andy,Dannie, et al, who are the ones that you see as having the least/lesser questions to answer at this time??

By the way, this is obviously not the same as asking who are you are betting in the Derby...
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  #2  
Old 03-21-2008, 10:18 AM
bellsbendboy
 
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As for Denis Of Cork..it is not a question of talent, but one of maturity.

The fact that first Calvin jumped off to ride Turf War and now Robby has decided to ride the filly at Keeneland, instead of DOC in the Wood should be more than a bit disturbing to this ones backers. BBB
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  #3  
Old 03-21-2008, 10:29 AM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
You can't be serious. Basing decisions on where a jock ends up, when you have no idea what the reason is, is a sure fire way to going broke.
I sorta disagree with this. This is the time of year when you want the midget to commit to one horse for the derby. Now any other race and your point is valid.

It's just another piece to the puzzle of Denis of Cork, albeit a small piece.
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  #4  
Old 03-21-2008, 10:44 AM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Who cares who rides the horse?
Would your opinion of Denis of Cork change if Stewart Elliott got the mount?
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  #5  
Old 03-21-2008, 10:47 AM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Elysium Fields has way more question marks than Denis. . .
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  #6  
Old 03-21-2008, 11:01 AM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
Elysium Fields has way more question marks than Denis. . .
I wouldn't say way more...

He's improved this winter and the FOY was a very impressive performance considering the post he had to overcome.

The big question mark with him is how will he perform away from GP.
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  #7  
Old 03-21-2008, 11:12 AM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
I wouldn't say way more...

He's improved this winter and the FOY was a very impressive performance considering the post he had to overcome.

The big question mark with him is how will he perform away from GP.
Well he has one win in 5 starts. . . (I actually like him a little but to say that he's anywhere close to DofC at this point is ridiculous). . .
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  #8  
Old 03-21-2008, 10:59 AM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I see what you are saying, but I can probably count on one hand the number of horses I haven't bet because of the rider. Seriously, how much do riders really matter if Elliot has a Derby win already?
Well really it's more of a question of why Alporodeo and his agent decided to stay at Keeneland and ride the filly instead of taking the mount on Denis in the Wood. Either they're both stupid or Denis isn't what the media and some fans are making him out to be.

It might be crazy reasoning on my part but I've been suspicious of this horse from the get-go.
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  #9  
Old 03-21-2008, 11:05 AM
Coach Pants
 
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  #10  
Old 03-21-2008, 11:14 AM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
There you go, it wasn't a decision between the 2. He made the commitment to Country Star first, thus he and his agent are honoring it.
It's not that cut and dry. Exceptions are usually made with derby horses.

It's odd that Albarado would honor the commitment on a horse that, in all likelihood, goes back to Bejarano when he returns.

This, to me, is what stood out...

"Albarado also was the most recent rider for Carroll's other Kentucky Derby prospect, Blackberry Road, who will run in the Illinois Derby or one week later in the Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn. Regardless, Blackberry Road will get a new rider, Carroll said."
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  #11  
Old 03-21-2008, 10:20 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Payson Dave
Out of curiousity,,, Steve,Drugs,Hossy,Coach,Hooves,Scavs,Andy,Dannie, et al, who are the ones that you see as having the least/lesser questions to answer at this time??

By the way, this is obviously not the same as asking who are you are betting in the Derby...
To answer your question, I think Pyro is obviously the one with the fewest question to address.

That is why I've been calling him "the most likely Derby winner" all year long. He's done nothing to enhance his reputation that much - but he still is the horse who deserves the most likely winner label.
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