capping 101..the "SPOCK HORSE"

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

thanks bruce..very nice ..

myself in the race in question the 7 is beatable he may be the favorite after the graded tries and connections..but.. this horse may need a race as its been on the shelf for some time .. im thinking it had some minor health problems..the works are strong..so that may make it the odds on fav..ny bettors are pretty smart so to pull one over is tough. he may very well win

but i would take a stand against em in pick 3s and pick 4 with the 6/2/1

also looking closer at the works .. many of these were on low workout days 1 of 4 ,2of 5 ,1of 3

[blackthroatedwind]

Why would you take a stand against that horse? The race isn't open behind it. There are two horses that can win that particular race....I Promise and Jet Setting. It's close who will be the favorite though I guess it will be Jet Promise. However, why would you only use one or use another at the expense of either?

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

jet promise?...i would use the horses that figure to me without using the 7 as i dont think hes as good as advertised..thus giving me better chance if the 2 does not fire or backs up ..i get a prize... the 6 is capable of a 45 split ..and closed into it.. both the 2 and 7 can be beat to me the 2 has its own set of negitives but less so than the 7 the 3 playing hooky could be the one to run down.......

[blackthroatedwind]

I strongly disagree. I think it is very unlikely that one of those two horses doesn't win. CT Phone Home isn't in the same area code as Jet Setting. Without an incident it is near impossible CT beats him. I Promise might.....but nobody else.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I strongly disagree. I think it is very unlikely that one of those two horses doesn't win. CT Phone Home isn't in the same area code as Jet Setting. Without an incident it is near impossible CT beats him. I Promise might.....but nobody else.

Just out of curiosity, why are you dismissing the #1 (the Jerkens/Arroyo horse)? I seriously doubt if I bet this race, but I tend to agree with hooves that Jet Setting might be vulnerable, and if the Jerkens horse is 5/1 or more - which he certainly might be - he seems potentially playable to me in this spot.

[blackthroatedwind]

If you think Jet Setting is vulnerable then you really need to watch her last race over again. She ran extremely well.

As for Anlyn......where's her decent race? While she stumbled at the start two back, I disagree with the chart caller that she " stumbled badly ", and after that she sat a dream trip. While she's clearly a lot better than CT Phone Home, I think she is a lot slower than Jet Setting, and can only get second if one of the two favorites fails to show up.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

well we all have our opinions.. and thanks for all your input...we will see how it plays out weds......

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

If you think Jet Setting is vulnerable then you really need to watch her last race over again. She ran extremely well.

I wonder why this isn't obvious.

[Bobby Fischer]

No reason to oppose Jet Setting. She is in very good form. She probably wins if I Promise doesn't wire the field. Asmussen hasn't shown signs of cooling down.

I Promise is the class of the speed and probably the class of the race. She should have worked herself into shape after the 7 works. I don't like the way she finishes her races, but Dominguez figures to get a great trip.

Jerkens has a Anlyn also, but would have to rank behind the top 2. You can't tell from the published works if she is in great shape.

Linda Rice has a nice little statebred sprinter, but this race came up a little tougher than normal. Could get better value later.

This isn't a race I would bet, but is nice for it's classification.