Early Top Twenty Derby Hopefuls

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by King Glorious

They said the same things about Winning Colors. That turned out pretty good.

I like to read all the "he/she won't" comments. I read them prior to the BC races and I'll keep reading them through the TC series. I think it's silly to say that a horse only did something because of this or that. The fact is that she did it. Maybe nobody else was a front runner because nobody else has her speed. It wasn't like she was life and death to hold on in her races. She far outdistanced them and until I see proof that the gap is closing, I have to believe she's still far ahead of them. Now, if she had to face War Pass, that might make things interesting. They could cancel each other out. But if only one of them is there, I see no reason why it couldn't be a wire job in May.

Is Woody Stephens coming back from the grave to give a leg up to Pat Day to instruct him to not let the filly win by any means necessary?

Saying that a wire-to-wire win over a sloppy track when so many of her foes didn't fire and she shortened stride during slow final fractions is a powerful enough performance to be considered one of four Derby prospects is dicey in my opinion. It is, of course, your list.

At least you had Colonel John on your list who looks like he might be able to get 10 furlongs. I'm highly skeptical of your other three.

NT