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  #1  
Old 08-15-2007, 12:19 AM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JJP
I believe Arlington had 24 breakdowns last year, not 40. As for the earlier comment about randomness with Polytrack, there's no question its more random. Until the majority of horses have run 5-6 times over it, one can only draw limited conclusions. I'll bet TP, where 95% of the non-maidens have run over it, and I feel speed at least has some chance. But the crap that they run on at Kee, AP and Dmr is just brutal to watch. It looks like all the speed tires, and the deep closers can't get in gear quick enough, and the midpack runners basically inherit the win with their one paced style. And ALL the runners look like they are struggling in the stretch. Let's hope PETA doesnt watch these debacles.

I find some horseman's comments very strange: they talk about the surface not "breaking away" like dirt, yet the horses' hooves must be sinking in further because the times are so much slower. What gives? And supposedly the horses come back after a race or workout and barely blowing? Yet it seems that every horse is struggling in the stretch....yet another contradiction.
JJ, I was including morning breakdowns also in that 40 number, 24 was during races. I think that 40 number is actually larger
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Old 08-15-2007, 05:07 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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Originally Posted by Scav
JJ, I was including morning breakdowns also in that 40 number, 24 was during races. I think that 40 number is actually larger
Why are you up so late?
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  #3  
Old 08-15-2007, 08:56 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Why are you up so late?
No job, I can do whatever I want now, it is awesome

Quote:
Originally Posted by JJP
I think there's going to be one very strong angle when Hawthorne opens: speed horses who tired at AP.
JJP, lets keep that angle to ourselves, that is an amazing thought process right there. We can really unload on that the first couple days and let the minions figure it out at a later date. Great find right there. Speed horses that are off form suddenly find Hawthorne form. Big fan right there.
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Old 08-15-2007, 09:50 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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Originally Posted by Scav
No job, I can do whatever I want now, it is awesome

Why aren't you in Saratoga then?
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  #5  
Old 08-15-2007, 10:12 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Why aren't you in Saratoga then?
I have alot of commitments in the next couple weeks up here. A wedding, handicapping contest, two Cubs games, and a Bears preseason game. Still cleaning my wounds from the first trip, almost healed.
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  #6  
Old 08-16-2007, 07:05 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Originally Posted by Scav
I have alot of commitments in the next couple weeks up here. A wedding, handicapping contest, two Cubs games, and a Bears preseason game. Still cleaning my wounds from the first trip, almost healed.
I hope you didn't pay for those tickets. Preseason football is absolutely unwatchable.

One of the biggest travesties in sports is the NFL Owners forcing their season ticket holders to buy tickets to preseason games at full price.

I can't give them away, nobody wants to go see a 4-12 team (for that matter, I couldn't give them away after they won the Super Bowl), playing scrubs after one series, in 95 degree heat with not a breath of wind blowing through the stadium.
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Old 08-16-2007, 09:08 AM
Scav Scav is offline
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Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I hope you didn't pay for those tickets. Preseason football is absolutely unwatchable.

One of the biggest travesties in sports is the NFL Owners forcing their season ticket holders to buy tickets to preseason games at full price.

I can't give them away, nobody wants to go see a 4-12 team (for that matter, I couldn't give them away after they won the Super Bowl), playing scrubs after one series, in 95 degree heat with not a breath of wind blowing through the stadium.
We always go to one preseason just for the hell of it, it keeps us out of trouble. Never pay for them.

Word here is that the Bears are HUNGRY this year and no let down. Schedule is playable and the offensive looks to be real serious. Who knows if that holds but pretty excited. Upgrading the jerseys this weekend as I am going to get a Benson and a Harris Jersey, so when they are on offensive going to rock the benson jersey and when on D going to rock the Harris jersey, and no, not Walt Harris.
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  #8  
Old 08-16-2007, 06:58 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Why aren't you in Saratoga then?
he'd be handy around the barn...
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  #9  
Old 08-15-2007, 08:04 PM
JJP JJP is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
JJ, I was including morning breakdowns also in that 40 number, 24 was during races. I think that 40 number is actually larger
Thats quite possible if you factor in the morning training.

I think there's going to be one very strong angle when Hawthorne opens: speed horses who tired at AP.
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