7/11-AP 8th: SWLY's race-Handicapping

[TheSpyder]

Nice account Scavs..that's what I was looking for. Still capping and will post thoughts but like your analysis. Early view is lack of early speed leaves Sumwon and 1-2 horses out front letting Sumwon take over around the turn and open.

Like a 1 mile race today at Arlington that was exactly what I would expect Wednesday and good to see honest front speed holding up.

Spyder

Gazzella looks like the one to beat. Had the dreaded inside post last out.

Good luck guys.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by TheSpyder

Nice account Scavs..that's what I was looking for. Still capping and will post thoughts but like your analysis. Early view is lack of early speed leaves Sumwon and 1-2 horses out front letting Sumwon take over around the turn and open.

Like a 1 mile race today at Arlington that was exactly what I would expect Wednesday and good to see honest front speed holding up.

Spyder

If she runs like she ran at Churchill, she will beat this field by 2-3 lengths. That being said, rather be sitting 3rd 2w(sitting right behind the speed duel) and get first run on tiring leaders. Either of Scherer's horses will be out there, and Douglas will have Gazzella out there also. No way you want to be 3w the whole way around, if she had to I doubt it will be a problem but it will be closer at the end. She'll rate for Willie.

Any way you look at it, Sumwon will probably be 5/2 or 2/1 at off odds, and she has a hell of a chance to win this race, which is a direct complement to Chuck's training job, and the outpouring of effection that she has felt since being bought. I can't wait to meet her