Sumwon Much Better: 7/11-AP target

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by stevepopyak

Le Chateau and Humble Janet, first and third respectively in SWLY's last race are both entered. How do you think we would have matched up against this field?

7th (9:25)
Iowa Oaks (G3)

1 1/16 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $200,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Swift Temper Doocy T T Barnett Bobby C 115 BL 12-1
2 2 Irish Party Monterrey R Von Hemel Kelly 115 BL 5-1
3 3 Comarillo Quinonez B Chleborad Lynn 112 BL 15-1
4 4 Alba Dabas Secret Thompson T J Roberson Don 121 BL 20-1
5 5 Byenne Sukie D G Ackerman D Kelly 112 BL 15-1
6 6 High Again Flores D R Mott William I 121 BL 2-1
7 7 Marietta Bejarano R Harty Eoin 115 BL 7-2
8 8 Acrosstheborder Campbell Joel Tracy Ray E Jr 115 BL 20-1
9 9 Humble Janet Quinonez L S Asmussen Steven M 115 BL 10-1
10 10 Le Chateau Albarado R J Nicks Ralph E 115 BL 8-1


Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta /.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)

Using the complex theory of extrapolation I'll go with 9-1.

[dellinger63]

Not sure I would want to see her against the likes of High Again and her
+200K earnings....

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by dellinger63

Not sure I would want to see her against the likes of High Again and her
+200K earnings....

what is crazy is they only have 3 confirmed starters for the Mother Goose!

[AeWingnut]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

what is crazy is they only have 3 confirmed starters for the Mother Goose!

the Goose is ours

I mean come on she can beat at least 1 of the 3

Belmont is notorious for 6 horse fields with at least 1 scratch

[satan's twin]

Originally Posted by AeWingnut

the Goose is ours

I mean come on she can beat at least 1 of the 3

Belmont is notorious for 6 horse fields with at least 1 scratch

Sumwon wins this race if Mother Goose is the only other contestant.

[Riot]

Is Sumwon going to work Wednesday am (can be there) or Thursday am (can't be there until after 9:30a) or you playing it by ear?

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by Riot

Is Sumwon going to work Wednesday am (can be there) or Thursday am (can't be there until after 9:30a) or you playing it by ear?

I think tommorrow am @8:30

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by satan's twin

Sumwon wins this race if Mother Goose is the only other contestant.

I'm not sure how well Mother Goose will get around carrying 120 pounds.

[NoCarolinaTony]

If your thinking lucky it's the perfect day (if your a craps player).

Anyway it's Unfortunate but the date of the next race possibility is 7/11, As hopefully I will have landed in Taiwan by then. Would have loved to go to Chicago to see her run. it's been years since I've been to Arlington. If not I will follow via the internet.

Keep us posted as plans develop. You guys have done a great job of that.

NC Tony

[Riot]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

I'm not sure how well Mother Goose will get around carrying 120 pounds.

But isn't BTW riding Sumwon?

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

I'm not sure how well Mother Goose will get around carrying 120 pounds.

Word on the backstretch is that she can flat out fly.

[AeWingnut]

Originally Posted by satan's twin

Sumwon wins this race if Mother Goose is the only other contestant.

Just talking

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by satan's twin

Sumwon wins this race if Mother Goose is the only other contestant.

i don't know, the Goose could be tough, she might be rounding into form.

[dellinger63]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

what is crazy is they only have 3 confirmed starters for the Mother Goose!

I know Lady Joanne and Octave are in who's the third?

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by dellinger63

I know Lady Joanne and Octave are in who's the third?

Boca Grande

[AeWingnut]

Mother Goose

CLOSED SATURDAY, JUNE 16, 2007 WITH 19 NOMINATIONS


tough big name fillies

but for some reason I was thinking Sumwon could handle the 1 turn 9f Belmont

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by AeWingnut

Mother Goose

CLOSED SATURDAY, JUNE 16, 2007 WITH 19 NOMINATIONS


tough big name fillies

but for some reason I was thinking Sumwon could handle the 1 turn 9f Belmont

Just to be clear, I wasn't suggesting that would be a field for her just that it's amazing that a G1 at Belmont Park only draws this many and everyone else chooses to go elsewhere. Who's afraid of Octave? I can certainly see the point that one can really luck into graded wins!

[pmacdaddy]

Very curious to see how Le Chateau does in there.

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Using the complex theory of extrapolation I'll go with 9-1.

I'd expect much longer than that, given Byenne is 15-1 in there and has looked pretty darn good at basically the same current class that Sumwon is at right now. A filly she beat came back to run a pretty bang-up race at AP on Sunday, losing to a nice winner and a horse who had won two in a row at the same level (for a tag the second time). Unless bettors were unequivocally convinced that Sumwon was going to take a big step forward, I'd be thinking at least 15-1 in there, probably closer to 20-1.

It's irrelevant anyway, and what the heck do I know, but wanted to throw my two cents in.

That's a pretty tough field for a Prairie Meadows race like that, probably better that she doesn't go there.