Sumwon Much Better: 7/11-AP target

[stevepopyak]

Le Chateau and Humble Janet, first and third respectively in SWLY's last race are both entered. How do you think we would have matched up against this field?

7th (9:25)
Iowa Oaks (G3)

1 1/16 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $200,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Swift Temper Doocy T T Barnett Bobby C 115 BL 12-1
2 2 Irish Party Monterrey R Von Hemel Kelly 115 BL 5-1
3 3 Comarillo Quinonez B Chleborad Lynn 112 BL 15-1
4 4 Alba Dabas Secret Thompson T J Roberson Don 121 BL 20-1
5 5 Byenne Sukie D G Ackerman D Kelly 112 BL 15-1
6 6 High Again Flores D R Mott William I 121 BL 2-1
7 7 Marietta Bejarano R Harty Eoin 115 BL 7-2
8 8 Acrosstheborder Campbell Joel Tracy Ray E Jr 115 BL 20-1
9 9 Humble Janet Quinonez L S Asmussen Steven M 115 BL 10-1
10 10 Le Chateau Albarado R J Nicks Ralph E 115 BL 8-1


Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta /.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by stevepopyak

Le Chateau and Humble Janet, first and third respectively in SWLY's last race are both entered. How do you think we would have matched up against this field?

7th (9:25)
Iowa Oaks (G3)

1 1/16 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $200,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Swift Temper Doocy T T Barnett Bobby C 115 BL 12-1
2 2 Irish Party Monterrey R Von Hemel Kelly 115 BL 5-1
3 3 Comarillo Quinonez B Chleborad Lynn 112 BL 15-1
4 4 Alba Dabas Secret Thompson T J Roberson Don 121 BL 20-1
5 5 Byenne Sukie D G Ackerman D Kelly 112 BL 15-1
6 6 High Again Flores D R Mott William I 121 BL 2-1
7 7 Marietta Bejarano R Harty Eoin 115 BL 7-2
8 8 Acrosstheborder Campbell Joel Tracy Ray E Jr 115 BL 20-1
9 9 Humble Janet Quinonez L S Asmussen Steven M 115 BL 10-1
10 10 Le Chateau Albarado R J Nicks Ralph E 115 BL 8-1


Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta /.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)

Using the complex theory of extrapolation I'll go with 9-1.

[dellinger63]

Not sure I would want to see her against the likes of High Again and her
+200K earnings....

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by dellinger63

Not sure I would want to see her against the likes of High Again and her
+200K earnings....

what is crazy is they only have 3 confirmed starters for the Mother Goose!

[AeWingnut]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

what is crazy is they only have 3 confirmed starters for the Mother Goose!

the Goose is ours

I mean come on she can beat at least 1 of the 3

Belmont is notorious for 6 horse fields with at least 1 scratch

[satan's twin]

Originally Posted by AeWingnut

the Goose is ours

I mean come on she can beat at least 1 of the 3

Belmont is notorious for 6 horse fields with at least 1 scratch

Sumwon wins this race if Mother Goose is the only other contestant.

[Riot]

Is Sumwon going to work Wednesday am (can be there) or Thursday am (can't be there until after 9:30a) or you playing it by ear?

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by satan's twin

Sumwon wins this race if Mother Goose is the only other contestant.

I'm not sure how well Mother Goose will get around carrying 120 pounds.

[AeWingnut]

Originally Posted by satan's twin

Sumwon wins this race if Mother Goose is the only other contestant.

Just talking

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by satan's twin

Sumwon wins this race if Mother Goose is the only other contestant.

i don't know, the Goose could be tough, she might be rounding into form.

[dellinger63]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

what is crazy is they only have 3 confirmed starters for the Mother Goose!

I know Lady Joanne and Octave are in who's the third?

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by dellinger63

I know Lady Joanne and Octave are in who's the third?

Boca Grande

[AeWingnut]

Mother Goose

CLOSED SATURDAY, JUNE 16, 2007 WITH 19 NOMINATIONS


tough big name fillies

but for some reason I was thinking Sumwon could handle the 1 turn 9f Belmont

[pmacdaddy]

Very curious to see how Le Chateau does in there.

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Using the complex theory of extrapolation I'll go with 9-1.

I'd expect much longer than that, given Byenne is 15-1 in there and has looked pretty darn good at basically the same current class that Sumwon is at right now. A filly she beat came back to run a pretty bang-up race at AP on Sunday, losing to a nice winner and a horse who had won two in a row at the same level (for a tag the second time). Unless bettors were unequivocally convinced that Sumwon was going to take a big step forward, I'd be thinking at least 15-1 in there, probably closer to 20-1.

It's irrelevant anyway, and what the heck do I know, but wanted to throw my two cents in.

That's a pretty tough field for a Prairie Meadows race like that, probably better that she doesn't go there.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by stevepopyak

7th (9:25)
Iowa Oaks (G3)

1 1 Swift Temper Doocy T T Barnett Bobby C 115 BL 12-1
2 2 Irish Party Monterrey R Von Hemel Kelly 115 BL 5-1
3 3 Comarillo Quinonez B Chleborad Lynn 112 BL 15-1
4 4 Alba Dabas Secret Thompson T J Roberson Don 121 BL 20-1
5 5 Byenne Sukie D G Ackerman D Kelly 112 BL 15-1
6 6 High Again Flores D R Mott William I 121 BL 2-1
7 7 Marietta Bejarano R Harty Eoin 115 BL 7-2
8 8 Acrosstheborder Campbell Joel Tracy Ray E Jr 115 BL 20-1
9 9 Humble Janet Quinonez L S Asmussen Steven M 115 BL 10-1
10 10 Le Chateau Albarado R J Nicks Ralph E 115 BL 8-1

Here are the nominations with PP's... which included Sumwon...
http://www.prairiemeadows.com/racing...OaksNomPPs.pdf

[Scav]

In the long run, I think you will see that it is good not to run Sum over that Prairie Meadows racetrack. 1) I can't figure that track out for nothing and 2) it seems that horses just aren't the same after they run over it, alot of arlington people ship over for it and when they ship back, they were good bet againsts (back when it was dirt, not sure with it being poly if that will hold)