Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 06-10-2007, 02:43 AM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
Default

The bottom line is that none of those 3 horses would have won today no matter how they were ridden. I have no problem criticizing a jock if they cost a horse the race, but GG did not cost any of those horses the race.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 06-10-2007, 10:18 AM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
The bottom line is that none of those 3 horses would have won today no matter how they were ridden. I have no problem criticizing a jock if they cost a horse the race, but GG did not cost any of those horses the race.
I think you're absolutely dead wrong.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 06-10-2007, 10:24 AM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,278
Default

dream rush yes wait awile for sure...waitawile was a joke he was over confedent thet when they turned for home he would blow by,,imo.....and joey.....you betta talk now mon
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 06-10-2007, 12:27 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
dream rush yes wait awile for sure...waitawile was a joke he was over confedent thet when they turned for home he would blow by,,imo.....and joey.....you betta talk now mon
I ... hate ... that ... horse.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 06-10-2007, 12:40 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
I think you're absolutely dead wrong.
Let's say that John Velaquez would have ridden all 3 of those horses yesterday. Which of those horses would have won?
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 06-10-2007, 12:43 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
Let's say that John Velaquez would have ridden all 3 of those horses yesterday. Which of those horses would have won?
Dream Rush and possibly Wait a While.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 06-10-2007, 12:49 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,943
Default

i think gomez thought wait a while was much better than she was, and that my typhoon was much worse than she turned out to be yesterday, that he could gun to the lead when he wanted.

ooops.
__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all.
Abraham Lincoln
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 06-10-2007, 12:55 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Dream Rush and possibly Wait a While.
He obviously had to go to the lead on Dream Rush from the rail. Once he got on the lead, he tried to rate her the best he could. It wasn't as if he asked her and she opened up 5 lengths and got run down. He slowed her down as much as he could. He couldn't have been any stiller in the saddle. I think the filly was just a little too head-strong for GG to slow her down any more than he did. He had a very tight hold of her. I agree with you that you don't want to go :45 1/5 in a mile race. That is definitely too fast. I don't think he wanted to go that fast, but once she was rolling on the lead it didn't look like he could get her to settle much more than she did.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 06-10-2007, 01:00 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,939
Default

Honestly, you all are giving WAY too much credit to riders for having an effect on the outcome of races. I suggest spending time handicapping intelligently and forgetting about jockeys and the net results will be much better for you at the windows.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 06-12-2007, 10:19 AM
NoLuvForPletch NoLuvForPletch is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 971
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Honestly, you all are giving WAY too much credit to riders for having an effect on the outcome of races. I suggest spending time handicapping intelligently and forgetting about jockeys and the net results will be much better for you at the windows.
Now that's the Andy we know and love! You really don't think Gomez hurt Hard Spun's chances? It's pretty evident that the horse can cruise at a high rate of speed, Derby fractions of 22 4/5, 46 1/5, 111 and 137 under no urging, and he still ran his last quarter quicker than the previous. The 3 horses that tried to run with him for the 1st half mile in the Derby finished 17th, 19th and 20th. So if Hard Spun is allowed to "cruise" on his own for the opening 3/4's of a mile on Saturday, how far in front is he after 6f? How are they going to catch him rallying from 10 lengths plus back when he hasn't even taken a deep breath to that point?

Do you believe Larry Jones when he says he told Gomez to go to the lead?

He had the rail wide open going into that first turn and could have had it easily, but decided he'd rather be 5 wide, choking the life out of his animal in order to pin Curlin down on the rail.

I know this is all Monday morning QBing, as I for one thought what Pino did in the Preakness was inexcusable and was all for the change. But unfortunately Go-Go's strength is with off the pace runners, not front end horses (my opinion of course). I guess Jones was in a tough spot since Gomez was probably the best available, just not for that horse.

Andy, I know you aren't into the whole jockey thing but do you have an opinion on who may have been a better fit for Hard Spun, besides Pino and I guess Johnny V, who was probably still waiting on Pletcher to decide on CQ?

Last edited by NoLuvForPletch : 06-12-2007 at 10:36 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 06-10-2007, 12:52 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
Let's say that John Velaquez would have ridden all 3 of those horses yesterday. Which of those horses would have won?
Use Prado and not Johnny V- even though he won the big one yesterday, he's been less than stellar lately. . .

Dream Rush wins
Wait a While might win
Hard Spun loses no matter what
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:11 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.