Early thoughts on Belmont Saturday Card

[Pedigree Ann]

Originally Posted by GPK

ok Seth...my comment??


COSMONAUT????

Horse has never been better since Prado got on board, should have won the Dixie, and has won at 10f on turf. If English Channel needs one after his trip, Cosmonaut can take advantage.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann

Horse has never been better since Prado got on board, should have won the Dixie, and has won at 10f on turf. If English Channel needs one after his trip, Cosmonaut can take advantage.

Again...I would think BTN or SQ would be more likely than Cosmonaut if EC fails to fire.

[ninetoone]

BTN runs by them all to win by a half length...

[GPK]

Originally Posted by ninetoone

BTN runs by them all to win 2nd place by a half length...

[ninetoone]

Originally Posted by GPK

disclaimer: I was the guy that bet on BTN in the BC Turf in '04, and therefore have zero objectivity when this horse runs. Still wish I had let that $ ride on The Zapper in the Classic...unfortunately I had another fierce loyalty to Pleasantly Perfect.

[skippy3481]

Alan,
Come on man, buy them for your self. What's it like 1.50 now? Seriously if you are too cheap to buy your own program why are you betting? Don't mean to be a dick, but if your going to beg something at least let it be thoro's

[AngelSita]

Originally Posted by ninetoone

disclaimer: I was the guy that bet on BTN in the BC Turf in '04, and therefore have zero objectivity when this horse runs. Still wish I had let that $ ride on The Zapper in the Classic...unfortunately I had another fierce loyalty to Pleasantly Perfect.

I had money on BTN that race as well. I've been a fan of his ever since.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

I don't know how I will resist my urge to play longshot Minister's Joy in the Manhatten.

He's been on my watch list ever since he lost a little allowance race on the turf at Calder a few years---it wasn't the toughest of fields even for that level at Calder---but I thought he was off the charts in defeat, for that class level.

I've always thought you might see the best from him in fast paced, 10 furlong turf race---and I expect him to trip out, and hopefully he's good enough to win or run 2nd. I've certainly chased him in spots he didn't fit as well in from a race-shape standpoint.

The two name horses in this race have some questions they need to address...and the two other good ones might be overbet...

* English Channel flopped in Dubai last out.

* Sky Conqueror is legit--and will be tough--but he's never run outside of Toronto or Kentucky...and the time to get the value on him was probably last out.

* Better Talk Now didn't pass his rabbit until a few jumps before the wire last time out.

* Like with SC, Cosmonaut is legit, and should factor into the outcome, but he might not offer as much value as you'd like to get.

I know my case for MJ might be pretty flimsy, and I look like I'm just reaching for a longshot---and I'll admit that the horse has been on my radar for a real long time---but I think he's one of a just a few horses, in the stakes, on the Belmont undercard---whom I believe really has a decent longshot look.