139th BELMONT: Prospective Field

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

Tiago is 10/1 and CP West 12/1? 6/5 on Curlin would be a gift, more like 4/5.

So, at 6:5 you're sending it in but at 4:5 you're passing....or perhaps betting Tiago or CP West?

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

So, at 6:5 you're sending it in but at 4:5 you're passing....or perhaps betting Tiago or CP West?

at 10/1 I would bet on Tiago with a huge saver to Curlin. I think that exacta has a very high probability.

I think Tiago is more like 6/1 and CP West more like 20/1. Its another bad morning line at belmont.

[tycharles01]

Guess the plumber needs some more time to get DIGGER ready for the big match race against Street Sense in Toga

[lemoncrush]

5-2 for Hard Spun?
I'd be surprised if he went off at anything lower than 4-1.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

at 10/1 I would bet on Tiago with a huge saver to Curlin. I think that exacta has a very high probability.

I think Tiago is more like 6/1 and CP West more like 20/1. Its another bad morning line at belmont.

No chance there is that kind of disparity in actual odds.

Don't get me wrong, I think Tiago is a lot likelier to win than CP West, but he will not be less than a third CP West's price.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

No chance there is that kind of disparity in actual odds.

Don't get me wrong, I think Tiago is a lot likelier to win than CP West, but he will not be less than a third CP West's price.

you may be right, maybe that is my estimation of their actually chances, Tiago about 16/100 and CP West about 5/100.

[whodey17]

Curlin should win this race rather easily, but I think that Rags will get 2nd in this race. I dont think Hard Spun will last and I dont think that CP West will run like he did at Pimilico. I could see Tiago or Crazy getting up for 3rd. But Rags seems to be the 2nd best horse in this field for this race.

[byalip]

Whatever you decide on, keep the image of Curlin blowing by Hard Spun WITH EASE fresh in your mind.

[Mortimer]

Originally Posted by byalip

Whatever you decide on, keep the image of Curlin blowing by Hard Spun WITH EASE fresh in your mind.

You are runing my Belmont analysis.








SHUT UP!

[philcski]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

at 10/1 I would bet on Tiago with a huge saver to Curlin. I think that exacta has a very high probability.

I think Tiago is more like 6/1 and CP West more like 20/1. Its another bad morning line at belmont.

I think you're looking at 8/1 at Tiago and 14/1 on CP West.