139th BELMONT: Prospective Field

[Storm Cadet]

Tom Durkin joked at the draw that Digger is out and getting ready for the EPSOM DERBY which got a laugh from all!

[10 pnt move up]

Tiago is 10/1 and CP West 12/1? 6/5 on Curlin would be a gift, more like 4/5.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

Tiago is 10/1 and CP West 12/1? 6/5 on Curlin would be a gift, more like 4/5.

So, at 6:5 you're sending it in but at 4:5 you're passing....or perhaps betting Tiago or CP West?

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

So, at 6:5 you're sending it in but at 4:5 you're passing....or perhaps betting Tiago or CP West?

at 10/1 I would bet on Tiago with a huge saver to Curlin. I think that exacta has a very high probability.

I think Tiago is more like 6/1 and CP West more like 20/1. Its another bad morning line at belmont.

[tycharles01]

Guess the plumber needs some more time to get DIGGER ready for the big match race against Street Sense in Toga

[lemoncrush]

5-2 for Hard Spun?
I'd be surprised if he went off at anything lower than 4-1.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

at 10/1 I would bet on Tiago with a huge saver to Curlin. I think that exacta has a very high probability.

I think Tiago is more like 6/1 and CP West more like 20/1. Its another bad morning line at belmont.

No chance there is that kind of disparity in actual odds.

Don't get me wrong, I think Tiago is a lot likelier to win than CP West, but he will not be less than a third CP West's price.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

No chance there is that kind of disparity in actual odds.

Don't get me wrong, I think Tiago is a lot likelier to win than CP West, but he will not be less than a third CP West's price.

you may be right, maybe that is my estimation of their actually chances, Tiago about 16/100 and CP West about 5/100.

[whodey17]

Curlin should win this race rather easily, but I think that Rags will get 2nd in this race. I dont think Hard Spun will last and I dont think that CP West will run like he did at Pimilico. I could see Tiago or Crazy getting up for 3rd. But Rags seems to be the 2nd best horse in this field for this race.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

at 10/1 I would bet on Tiago with a huge saver to Curlin. I think that exacta has a very high probability.

I think Tiago is more like 6/1 and CP West more like 20/1. Its another bad morning line at belmont.

I think you're looking at 8/1 at Tiago and 14/1 on CP West.