Derby/Preakness BSF & PF's

[somerfrost]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

The Preakness card was one of the toughest days I've ever encountered to make figures for.

I was consistantly wrong on how fast races should go in timewise--based on how fast the track was playing--throughout the card that day.

I have a sneaking suspicion that the track maintance crew and the weather played a key role.

Yeah, I believe so...when I first saw Dr Roman's PF (-52) I was shocked at how much he devalued the race, Beyer's BSF seemed much more in line but Roman has statistical data to back up his number...it does seem unlikely that this group could earn a BSF so high, anyway...it really doesn't matter when looking at 3yo races but could be of interest when they start to face older.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

The Beyer figures certainly don't have the track playing the same speed throughout the card either.