SUMWON: Game 2nd in Thriller..

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Eliot standing against..


Sumwonlovesyou

Nearly wired $50K stock at the one turn mile and figures to be a strong pace factor in this lineup, but doubt she'll be able to clear them for a relaxed trip; much improved going turf to dirt, but not yet convinced she can handle the added ground going two turns and is more likely to back off her career best Beyer effort than advance her game to another level this time around; will try to beat her here.

I am not sure why he thinks that. Her sire and broodmare sire were both G1 winners going 10f, her dam was a multiple graded stakes winner at this distance (8.5f), and she seemed to have plenty of run left down the stretch in her last start despite getting pressed early.
I know it is hard for DTers to be objective about her, but it seems to me like this distance should be right up her alley.

[Scav]

Her TG sheet is screaming a move forward. She got one hell of a weight break IMO and if she listens to Willie, she will go 49 and steal this bitch.....

[Riot]

Originally Posted by Scav

Her TG sheet is screaming a move forward. She got one hell of a weight break IMO and if she listens to Willie, she will go 49 and steal this bitch.....

Sumwon's pattern is good. What do you think of Le Peaks?

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Riot

Sumwon's pattern is good. What do you think of Le Peaks?

That pattern is also strong, but this horse hasn't seen a real dirt track since Dec 06. I consider sloppy as turf racing Also getting 14lbs from here, which is like 10 lengths....we are not 10 lengths slowers then that horse

[KY_Sasquash]

Originally Posted by Scav

That pattern is also strong, but this horse hasn't seen a real dirt track since Dec 06. I consider sloppy as turf racing Also getting 14lbs from here, which is like 10 lengths....we are not 10 lengths slowers then that horse

14lbs is eqaul to 10 lengths? I'd say is closer to 4.5 lengths. That seems strong.

[AeWingnut]

"Worked from the 5f pole and was going well when asked a little down the stretch and into the turn. In fractions of 24.3, 37, 1:01 to the wire before going on into the turn to fnish in 113:3"

no mention of Moonee Ponds in the clocker report. Just as well.. That Damn Le Chateau really gets my goat. Why don't they just skip this race and try Grade 2 again.

[Cajungator26]

My stomach is actually upset worrying about this race and I don't even own a share...

I'm really excited for you guys!

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Scav

Her TG sheet is screaming a move forward. She got one hell of a weight break IMO and if she listens to Willie, she will go 49 and steal this bitch.....

I think if she wins this, it'll be with a stalking trip. There's other speed.

[jman5581]

I will be at the Downs today. Probably won't make it tomorrow because I have a wedding to mess with. If anyone's up there today, call or txt me at 314-307-2389. If someone could txt me the results after the race that would be cool, thanks.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

I think if she wins this, it'll be with a stalking trip. There's other speed.

You are off your rocker. she will be in front until she can't no more, no way she isn't going to try and go gate to wire. Unless Simon is up to some games : )

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Scav

You are off your rocker. she will be in front until she can't no more, no way she isn't going to try and go gate to wire. Unless Simon is up to some games : )

What the hell are you talking about? Philips Pride is a hellbent speed horse and there are three other horses stretching out that could show speed. I think it would be crazy to send SWLU to the lead, and she doesn't need to be on the front end anyway..

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by miraja2

I am not sure why he thinks that. Her sire and broodmare sire were both G1 winners going 10f, her dam was a multiple graded stakes winner at this distance (8.5f), and she seemed to have plenty of run left down the stretch in her last start despite getting pressed early.
I know it is hard for DTers to be objective about her, but it seems to me like this distance should be right up her alley.

He's probably basing it on the speed and fade at 8.5f at Kee. A lot of people will look at that and say she's going to have problems getting the trip....we know better though.