Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Triple Crown Topics/Archive..
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-05-2007, 07:20 PM
Pedigree Ann's Avatar
Pedigree Ann Pedigree Ann is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Lexington, KY
Posts: 1,776
Default

My only Derby bet was $5 across the board on Hard Spun, so at least I was right about him running big - BECAUSE OF, not in spite of, his fast work. He needed that after no race in 6 weeks. I was wrong about him being able to hold off Street Sense. I chickened out of betting an exacta box of the two (for 2 lousy bucks! Where is my money sense? Nowhere, that's where!)

Was right about the Illinois Derby being a lousy race and the winner a toss (Cowtown Cat) and about Scat Daddy remembering who HIS daddy is around the quarter pole. Wrong about Curlin not running well (would not have had him in a tri had I bet one).

But what I was most right about was that 2yo form from last year was holding up well and none of the prep race seconds and thirds without major wins already was likely to win the Derby. Street Sense beat Circular Quay by 10 lengths last year - so what did he beat CQ by this year, about the same?

P.S. Louisville (or Lousyville, as we like to call it) dodged a bullet today. We have had several strong thunder storms through Lexington today, lots of rain, flood warnings galore.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-05-2007, 07:29 PM
pgardn
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Wrong: Sedgefield, CQ (I thought he would finish even further back), Hard Spun (great effort, never quit), Curlin (great effort also)

Right: Nobiz, Street Sense, CQ

I am looking forward to the Preakness.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-05-2007, 07:33 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Wrong: Everything but the Derby & the Distaff Turf Mile (had the exacta straight)
Right: Had the exacta, straight, 6 weeks ago for the Derby!!!!
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-05-2007, 07:36 PM
brianwspencer's Avatar
brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 4,894
Default

I was right on three of the four on the pick-4.

I was right to say immediately after the BC that Street Sense would win the Derby on my blog.

I was right on the top two finishers on my trifecta.

I was wrong to leave Curlin out of that trifecta.

I was wrong to think that even a bias-aided Cowtown Cat could contend in here.

I was wrong to include Scat Daddy at the last minute after insisting he had no shot to win for the last two months.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-05-2007, 07:45 PM
ninetoone's Avatar
ninetoone ninetoone is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: VA, USA
Posts: 2,295
Default

Biggest wrong: Not putting a line through the Bluegrass race...it made me believe that Dominican & Zanjero were on par with Street Sense when they weren't. Major mistake.

Another wrong: Hard Spun. I let the connections scare me off & it almost burned me (I'm a win bettor)...reminded me of when I didn't bet Xtra Heat & almost got burned there as well. Live & (hopefully) learn next time. Nice job by Hard Spun & Pino.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-05-2007, 07:52 PM
timmgirvan's Avatar
timmgirvan timmgirvan is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Powder Springs Ga
Posts: 5,780
Default

In retrospect,should have not included Scat Daddy in my plays....1st and 3rd is the story of my betting life ....so to speak!
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-05-2007, 08:06 PM
ALostTexan's Avatar
ALostTexan ALostTexan is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,101
Default

I was wrong, sort of, on Scat. I don't think the foot problems had anything to do with a poor performance, but I was wrong about the distance issues. He was sitting pretty early, but tired out.

I, too, was wrong about Curlin. Nice performance.

I was also wrong about and screwed arounf too long on getting my money into the WinTicket Pick 6 players pool. A $10 investment paid out $82 and change. Would have done better with my money there than on Scat Daddy.

Still a great day. I knew whrn Calvin shot to the rail that he was going to be in the race, and when he made his move on the backstretch, I knew he would win...

ALostTexan
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-05-2007, 08:42 PM
whorstman's Avatar
whorstman whorstman is offline
Woodbine
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Louisville
Posts: 995
Default

Right: Street Sense and Hard Spun

Wrong: A long shot hitting the board.

My 1st Derby tri and it pays less than half of what it has in the past few yrs.
__________________
The Prodical Son Has Returned
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 05-05-2007, 09:42 PM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Default

Right about... the one/two finishers
wrong about Curlin...throwing him out completely
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 05-05-2007, 09:46 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,943
Default

but man oh man was i right about cowtown cat, stormello and scat daddy. OUCH. i thought cowtown would be back in the pack, sure didn't see last tho.
__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all.
Abraham Lincoln
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 05-05-2007, 09:45 PM
PPerfectfan's Avatar
PPerfectfan PPerfectfan is offline
Hippodrome Bluebonnets
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 714
Default

Right about Street And Calvin. I knew he would win!!

Right about Scat Daddy and that bar shoe,freaking Pletcher!'

Wrong about Curlin, thought his 3 starts and trip would get him.

Wrong about Hard Spun, he wasnt even on my radar.

Right about Rated Fiesty

Wrong about AGS/Cowtown Cat lighting the board

Very, Very, Very right to throw my whole Derby money on Street and Calvin....$100 on the nose. I just couldnt figure out tri/supers so I said to heck with it. All I ever bet on the Derby is $100, anything more than that is to rich for my blood.
__________________
Me and PP at Lanes End
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 05-06-2007, 01:32 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,614
Default

I want to say I was right about Curlin. But he didn't win or run second so officially, I was wrong.

Wrong about Circular Quay. Thought he'd do better.

Wrong about Street Sense. I won't ever doubt this horse again.

Right about Teuflesberg. But then, wasn't everyone except Sanders?

Sort of right about Curlin and Hard Spun. Had them as two of my top four and they finished in the top three.

Right about two preps, long layoffs, BC Jinxes, inexperience, etc being negatives. This is a different game than in the past and the same angles that were important then don't mean as much now. Talent is the great equalizer. Always.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 05-06-2007, 01:36 PM
brianwspencer's Avatar
brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 4,894
Default

I would add to my earlier post, that I was wrong when I thought that the eighth beer of the afternoon was a good idea.

Terribly wrong.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:43 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.