Sumwonlovesyou in 2nd Race 4/29

[jman5581]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Did you look at this field? It is well below par for a $50K claimer. I was expecting to look at a field where she'd be more outclassed than she was last out. Instead I found a field full of off the pace horses that don't seem to particularly like dirt. She could easily get loose on the lead and make a very nice showing. I certainly won't be recommending betting her to anyone but I went from just hoping this morning that she'd crack the top five to get Chuck a paycheck and set her up for her next race to thinking that she has a legitimate shot of running top two.

I didn't see the horses that don't like the dirt part (perhaps I should look again)...but I can envision a scenario where she gets on the lead and runs away with it. Especially with her fitness being better now than it was in the last race....and given her track record of doing exactly that, I won't be surprised to see her getting some play at the window. What's the morning line on her? I haven't looked...

[horseofcourse]

I'm not seeing where she'd get an easy lead here...looks to me like the number 5 horse Tylan has had the lead early in 4 of her last 5 races on polytrack with some ok fractions at times with consistent Beyers in the 60s which is well above what Sumwon has done. But I agree, if she shows significant improvement off her last which is likely she could be in the mix here.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by horseofcourse

I'm not seeing where she'd get an easy lead here...looks to me like the number 5 horse Tylan has had the lead early in 4 of her last 5 races on polytrack with some ok fractions at times with consistent Beyers in the 60s which is well above what Sumwon has done. But I agree, if she shows significant improvement off her last which is likely she could be in the mix here.

Jazil could probably have the early lead on polytrack if he wanted. My brisnet PPs are at home but I'm pretty sure the 5 horse's pace figures were much lower than Sumwon's. If Sumwon were outside she might have to work to get on top but from the inside with a good break she shouldn't have a problem breaking on top. Then I guess it is up to Willie to judge the pace and see if he should let the pressers pass her or if they are going to let her waltz on the front.

[saucon17]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Jazil could probably have the early lead on polytrack if he wanted. My brisnet PPs are at home but I'm pretty sure the 5 horse's pace figures were much lower than Sumwon's. If Sumwon were outside she might have to work to get on top but from the inside with a good break she shouldn't have a problem breaking on top. Then I guess it is up to Willie to judge the pace and see if he should let the pressers pass her or if they are going to let her waltz on the front.

Sniper here are the pp's
http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdfs/vinery_72979.pdf

[Bigsmc]

She's 6-1 M/L

[jman5581]

Early pace figs are faster for Sumwon... with the inside post, barring any break issues, she should get the lead. 5 will have to stay outside I think.

[jman5581]

1 Sumwonlovesyou (KY) 6/1
2 Girls Pearls (KY) 5/2
3 Classic City Diva 7/2
4 Fast Actress 3/1
5 Tylan (KY) 4/1
6 Bellafina 5/1

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by jman5581

1 Sumwonlovesyou (KY) 6/1
2 Girls Pearls (KY) 5/2
3 Classic City Diva 7/2
4 Fast Actress 3/1
5 Tylan (KY) 4/1
6 Bellafina 5/1

That's interesting. I thought the 6 horse looked the most dangerous. If they hold the two longest shots I'll definitely take a stab at the 1,6 xbox.

[packerbacker7964]

I hate being a hater but she's got alot of moving up to run top 3 here guys. Nothing against the filly guys just speaking the truth. If she runs fro someone else you guys would be all over the person for picking her to win. Just speaking the truth and the truth hurts sometimes. Good Luck maybe she makes me eat crow but I think not this Sunday.

[AeWingnut]

I see your point but

boo

The payoffs today are huge. Sumwon won't be a favorite - unless we all bet her down

thats the good news
the bad news is that I saw a lot of big numbers
no gold rail today

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by packerbacker7964

I hate being a hater but she's got alot of moving up to run top 3 here guys. Nothing against the filly guys just speaking the truth. If she runs fro someone else you guys would be all over the person for picking her to win. Just speaking the truth and the truth hurts sometimes. Good Luck maybe she makes me eat crow but I think not this Sunday.

We are all well aware of the truth, we just don't understand why everyone not involved feels the need to put in their two cents.

[ALostTexan]

Good luck to all involved with her...

ALostTexan