How much time will you spend capping the Derby

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

It does make sense to me. I am not going to change up what I do and dive in for one race. I can count how many Supers I have played in my lifetime on one hand. I play Pick 3's, 4's and 6's, it's what I do and what I am best at. I will spend just as much time on the undercard as well as the two races after the Derby as the Derby itself. Hell, I will probably spend less time on the Derby because I have already seen the preps and pretty much know who I like. It will just be a matter of deciding how many I put on the ticket and that will be a function of who I like in the other races in the sequence.

I don't disagree with you there....for the most part.
I agree that it is a good idea to stick with what you are best at. If you aren't a Super player (I'm not either) it doesn't make sense to try to become one for one day. But I still think it makes sense to spend more time with the derby because the opportunity to make money is greater no matter how you play. Even if a person is just a "straight win" player, there is usually an opportunity to make a lot of money on this race because of the size of the field and the large number of idiots betting the race. I say, the more opportunity there is to make cash, the more time I am willing to devote to it.

[Thoroughbred Fan]

The longer you spend capping it the less you are earning per hour.

[flifishri]

As long as it takes to bet an online $10 x box on Curlin, Cowtown Cat and Scat Daddy!

[hockey2315]

I've essentially been capping the derby for a few months so at this point it's just formulating bets and looking at post positions. . .

[Samarta]

Well I think I began handicapping on BC day. Then every prep race since. Will make a phone call or two on Oaks or Derby morning and then it's off to the OTB. I think at this point, the decisions have been made for the most part, it's about convincing yourself. The old analysis paralysis theory. We all pretty much know by now, the only thing left to do is bet.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by flifishri

As long as it takes to bet an online $10 x box on Curlin, Cowtown Cat and Scat Daddy!

Those are three of my tosses. . . Good luck. . .

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Those are three of my tosses. . . Good luck. . .

Toss Scat Daddy at your own risk.

[flifishri]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Those are three of my tosses. . . Good luck. . .

Excellent! Hoping for more that will toss 'em! Ramp up the probables!

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by flifishri

Excellent! Hoping for more that will toss 'em! Ramp up the probables!

Unfortunately I don't think that's the case. . . Curlin will be the chalk and Scat Daddy will be the favored Pletcher horse- even though he's his third string (making Cowtown Cat his fourth string). . .

[Unstable]

Originally Posted by miraja2

I agree that it is a good idea to stick with what you are best at. If you aren't a Super player (I'm not either) it doesn't make sense to try to become one for one day. But I still think it makes sense to spend more time with the derby because the opportunity to make money is greater no matter how you play. Even if a person is just a "straight win" player, there is usually an opportunity to make a lot of money on this race because of the size of the field and the large number of idiots betting the race. I say, the more opportunity there is to make cash, the more time I am willing to devote to it.

I think it makes sense to take more time on this race than any other because of the opportunities to make more money. I also think this is a race where it pays to "stretch" a little bit in your usual betting strategies, again because of the opportunities to make a hell of a lot more money. If you're a "straight win" bettor, place a little money on the exacta or pick 3. The payoffs are HUGE.

I probably spend too much time on this race. But I also have a huge grin on my face while I'm doing it. It's a lot of fun just trying to figure out all the angles and trying to navigate through the b.s. And then there's all the arguing and gloating/sulking with my handicapping friends (mostly sulking).

[miraja2]

For me the real answer is....however long it takes for me to talk myself out of including the eventual winner in any of my exactas.

[timmgirvan]

Originally Posted by miraja2

For me the real answer is....however long it takes for me to talk myself out of including the eventual winner in any of my exactas.

Sad,but true!

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Unstable

I think it makes sense to take more time on this race than any other because of the opportunities to make more money. I also think this is a race where it pays to "stretch" a little bit in your usual betting strategies, again because of the opportunities to make a hell of a lot more money. If you're a "straight win" bettor, place a little money on the exacta or pick 3. The payoffs are HUGE.

I probably spend too much time on this race. But I also have a huge grin on my face while I'm doing it. It's a lot of fun just trying to figure out all the angles and trying to navigate through the b.s. And then there's all the arguing and gloating/sulking with my handicapping friends (mostly sulking).

See, I usually bet Pick 3s and 4s that include the Derby, but I've been thinking it over, and it really makes no sense to put so much effort into handicapping one race and very little effort (relatively) into 'capping races that will be equally important to the Pick 3 and 4 wagers. This year, I'll probably be playing inside the race only unless I see some can't miss play in one of the other races.

[dearheart54]

I've been handicapping since January 1. I'm still deciding if I will bet exotics or across the board. But, how I bet will depend largely on the arrival of my Illinois state tax refund in my checking account. The federal refund will come just in time for Breeders Cup.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by dearheart54

I've been handicapping since January 1. I'm still deciding if I will bet exotics or across the board. But, how I bet will depend largely on the arrival of my Illinois state tax refund in my checking account. The federal refund will come just in time for Breeders Cup.

I got mine in February... it's gone already. LOL

[Storm Cadet]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

I got mine in February... it's gone already. LOL

Now why does that not surprise me?

Who did your taxes? Al Capones CPA?

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by Storm Cadet

Now why does that not surprise me?

Who did your taxes? Al Capones CPA?

I do them. Mine are easy, though... nothing to itemize anymore since I lease my house.

[dearheart54]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

I got mine in February... it's gone already. LOL

Wish I could say that. I procrastinate. I didn't get mine done until the first week of April. If I had known I was going to get a gigantor refund from the state and the federal, I would have sent it in January. Next year, I'll do that next year

[Storm Cadet]

Lucky you...no refund this year for me so I waited to the last day to file...they can wait for my $$$

[Unstable]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

See, I usually bet Pick 3s and 4s that include the Derby, but I've been thinking it over, and it really makes no sense to put so much effort into handicapping one race and very little effort (relatively) into 'capping races that will be equally important to the Pick 3 and 4 wagers. This year, I'll probably be playing inside the race only unless I see some can't miss play in one of the other races.

That's the smart way to play it. Unless you have a lock in one of the races and can afford to spread in the others.

I have a friend who bets win/place and exactas, and is constantly telling me he would have had the huge trifecta. I tell him to bet the trifecta, and he tells me he doesn't bet those.

It only took me ten years to convince him to play the exactas... Maybe I'll have an easier time with the trifectas.