How much time will you spend capping the Derby

[dearheart54]

I've been handicapping since January 1. I'm still deciding if I will bet exotics or across the board. But, how I bet will depend largely on the arrival of my Illinois state tax refund in my checking account. The federal refund will come just in time for Breeders Cup.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by dearheart54

I've been handicapping since January 1. I'm still deciding if I will bet exotics or across the board. But, how I bet will depend largely on the arrival of my Illinois state tax refund in my checking account. The federal refund will come just in time for Breeders Cup.

I got mine in February... it's gone already. LOL

[Unstable]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

See, I usually bet Pick 3s and 4s that include the Derby, but I've been thinking it over, and it really makes no sense to put so much effort into handicapping one race and very little effort (relatively) into 'capping races that will be equally important to the Pick 3 and 4 wagers. This year, I'll probably be playing inside the race only unless I see some can't miss play in one of the other races.

That's the smart way to play it. Unless you have a lock in one of the races and can afford to spread in the others.

I have a friend who bets win/place and exactas, and is constantly telling me he would have had the huge trifecta. I tell him to bet the trifecta, and he tells me he doesn't bet those.

It only took me ten years to convince him to play the exactas... Maybe I'll have an easier time with the trifectas.

[westcoastinvader]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

It does make sense to me. I am not going to change up what I do and dive in for one race. I can count how many Supers I have played in my lifetime on one hand. I play Pick 3's, 4's and 6's, it's what I do and what I am best at. I will spend just as much time on the undercard as well as the two races after the Derby as the Derby itself. Hell, I will probably spend less time on the Derby because I have already seen the preps and pretty much know who I like. It will just be a matter of deciding how many I put on the ticket and that will be a function of who I like in the other races in the sequence.

But glance at the chart of the 2004 Kentucky Derby to get the "bug" for the super.

1st and 2nd favorite (Smarty Jones and Lion Heart) finished one-two.

Fifth favorite (Imperialism), of eighteen horses, finished 3rd.

Limehouse was the long shot 4th place finisher.


Superfecta paid over $41,000.

[westcoastinvader]

Originally Posted by westcoastinvader

But glance at the chart of the 2004 Kentucky Derby to get the "bug" for the super.

1st and 2nd favorite (Smarty Jones and Lion Heart) finished one-two.

Fifth favorite (Imperialism), of eighteen horses, finished 3rd.

Limehouse was the long shot 4th place finisher.


Superfecta paid over $41,000.

For the record, I lost that year. I needed Limehouse in the top 3.

Never much cared for Imperialism after that.

[fpsoxfan]

First of all, I just want to say sorry to all you Yankee fans that my Red Sox came back and beat you last night. What a game!! I will be spending a good portion of time capping the undercard.
I will Look over all of the Prep races for the Derby and try to lock in on 6-8 horses and go from there. I will also be watching the weather very carefully for the area that I live..Upstate NY. We have a good sized outdoor derby part on my buddies (ESTREETPOSSE)deck. Last year we had 20 MPH winds and chilly weather. Hopefully it will be Sunny and Pleasant.

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan

First of all, I just want to say sorry to all you Yankee fans that my Red Sox came back and beat you last night. What a game!! I will be spending a good portion of time capping the undercard.
I will Look over all of the Prep races for the Derby and try to lock in on 6-8 horses and go from there. I will also be watching the weather very carefully for the area that I live..Upstate NY. We have a good sized outdoor derby part on my buddies (ESTREETPOSSE)deck. Last year we had 20 MPH winds and chilly weather. Hopefully it will be Sunny and Pleasant.

Sure you are!