TVG Fantasy League

[SniperSB23]

Played against Circular Quay and against Scat Daddy to try and move up and got burnt. Pretty much killed any chances I had of getting back in the game. Even with my mishap of only changing horses in one of three groups on Donn Day the one stable I did change would only be in 30th in the public league now (would have been 6th at the start of the month).

[lemoncrush]

I think everyone should get points for April, as all the fields for the G1 races are pretty well established.
But in May, with the Derby being worth even more points and a 20 horse field, things could get shaken up.
Not to mention the stakes races on Oaks day, and all the other G1 and G2 races on Derby day. If you're not near a computer Friday and Saturday to make changes, you could be in trouble.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

With exception to the Wood---all of these weekend stakes are coming up very deep and contentious.

I think someone as far back as about 25th could possibly move into 3rd on the basis of landing on the right horses in many of the key weekend stakes. It may take an inside-straight, plus a bad showing by the top two, for someone in places 3rd through about 12th to move into 1st---but that isn't out of the realm of possibility.

I'm not confident at all in many of these races going into this week....but, as a very expierenced handicapper, I know these weekend races will be skull busters for everyone else--and not just me. They are very competitive races, and the favorite doesn't have much of an edge in any of them.

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

With exception to the Wood---all of these weekend stakes are coming up very deep and contentious.

I think someone as far back as about 25th could possibly move into 3rd on the basis of landing on the right horses in many of the key weekend stakes. It may take an inside-straight, plus a bad showing by the top two, for someone in places 3rd through about 12th to move into 1st---but that isn't out of the realm of possibility.

I'm not confident at all in many of these races going into this week....but, as a very expierenced handicapper, I know these weekend races will be skull busters for everyone else--and not just me. They are very competitive races, and the favorite doesn't have much of an edge in any of them.

I think you're right on in the Apple Blossom and Oaklawn Handicap.
The stakes at Santa anita will be very tough, too.
I think the Oaklawn Fantasy, Wood & Carter ayt Aqeduct and Ashland at Keenland will all be fairly chalky, however. You just got to pick the right chalk.

[sundaysilenceforever]

Well stables are picked and closed out for the month of April. This is the LEAST confident I have felt since the beginning of the contest...I thought it was tough this time for some reason...not really sure why. I feel like I will be taking a tumble...

Good luck, everybody

[lemoncrush]

April is tough, but there's plenty of places to get your points.
I don't see a lot of room to gain ground on the leaders until next month.
Here's the stable I went with. Pretty safe, but with a few curveballs thrown in.
Grade 1
Cotton Blossom
Octave
Showing Up
Nobiz Like Shobiz
Street Sense

Grade II
Any Given Saturday
Sam P.
Latent Heat
Cobalt Blue
Ermine
Smokey Stover
Curlin

JockeysDivison

1st Call John Velazquez
2nd Call David Flores


TrainersDivison
Trainer I Todd Pletcher 36
Trainer II Barclay Tagg

[sundaysilenceforever]

I really wanted to put Showing Up in there, but I figured that would be a sure way for Barclay to decide at the last minute not to enter him in the Maker's Mark!

[Sightseek]

My Stable:

Grade I
Round Pond
Cotton Blossom
Octave
Nobiz
Great Hunter

Grade II
Any Given
Cobalt Blue
India
Latent Heat ** I think I must have gone back and forth 'tween he & Silver Wagon like 20 times...
Sam P.
Level Red
Curlin

Jocks:
JV
Flores

Trainers:
Pletcher
Jerkins