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  #1  
Old 03-26-2007, 08:04 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Dettori is the Godolphin stable jock.

You don't think Premium Tap will be with the other two?
Here's how I see each horses chances:

If they raced 100 times:

Discreet Cat would win 35 times

Invasor would win 35 times

Premium Tap would win 25 times

The other 5 races would be won by other horses because of some kind of freak occurences. . .

I think the bet in the race is definitely Premium Tap @ 6-1 or so. . .
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  #2  
Old 03-26-2007, 08:06 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
Here's how I see each horses chances:

If they raced 100 times:

Discreet Cat would win 35 times

Invasor would win 35 times

Premium Tap would win 25 times

The other 5 races would be won by other horses because of some kind of freak occurences. . .

I think the bet in the race is definitely Premium Tap @ 6-1 or so. . .
Depends on conditions, straight up, no weight, I think Invasor wins more then 35 times. We haven't seen enough of DC to make an opinion, especially given his breeding, this 10 panel race will tell us alot.
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  #3  
Old 03-26-2007, 08:11 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,939
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I am very suspect of Premium Tap's chances. Frankly, I've seen too many horses improve dramatically in Kentucky, as he seems to have, and not reproduce that form in other places.....especially a place like Dubai. He is an extremely nice horse, he was improving last year, so perhaps he was just a late developer, but personally I am very suspect of his chances this weekend.

Believe me, I hope he does well, not only have I made two scores on him, I would love to see a three horse battle. At the very least, and this is a lot, this is the best showdown we have ever seen in the World Cup and probably in a long time in any big race. It's exciting. I can't wait either.
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