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  #1  
Old 03-17-2007, 11:01 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jman5581
Well, we've certainly got choices today...

Dinner Magic in 1st

La Tormenta and River's Prayer in 4th

Air Commander and Level Red in San Felipe
Just my two cents;
I don't think the fourth is very clear to me, its looks competetive and I can see it going different ways.

I think Air Commander would be a great choice.

Dinner Magic also looks real strong. The class drop just gives me a little pause, 50K down to 16K
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  #2  
Old 03-17-2007, 11:22 AM
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jman5581 jman5581 is offline
Hollywood Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Just my two cents;
I don't think the fourth is very clear to me, its looks competetive and I can see it going different ways.

I think Air Commander would be a great choice.

Dinner Magic also looks real strong. The class drop just gives me a little pause, 50K down to 16K
Yeah, I've decided to stay away from the 4th.

Air Commander is a great pick, but I think this might be a day to stay off the feature race...we know how fast 3 yr olds progress...especially THIS time of the year.

Dinner Magic, I think 16k keeps him from getting claimed....the ol' psyche out. And, you get more for winning a 16 claimer than you do for 3rd in a 50k.
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  #3  
Old 03-17-2007, 11:25 AM
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jman5581 jman5581 is offline
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I've been getting away with picking the big chalk for too long now...gotta get out of the crowd's way this weekend. That said, now probably half the players remaining will pick Dinner Magic in the 1st!
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  #4  
Old 03-17-2007, 11:36 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jman5581
I've been getting away with picking the big chalk for too long now...gotta get out of the crowd's way this weekend. That said, now probably half the players remaining will pick Dinner Magic in the 1st!
I think you've got the right idea. At some point you have to start stepping aside from the crowd once in awhile and hope that a sizable chunk of them crash and burn on some big favorite.

I agree on you idea about the feature, I am putting AC on top but there is some risk with lightly raced horses.

Dinner Magic has the look of a lock. solid form and Jockey/trainer stats. With his speed he should get an easy trip without much pace pressure and have a lot for the finish.

Good luck today guys.
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  #5  
Old 03-17-2007, 03:27 PM
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jman5581 jman5581 is offline
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Nice spread of choices today


35% selected #04 Air Commander in race 9

23% selected #04 Dinner Magic in race 1

10% selected #02 Cobalt Blue in race 9

9% selected #06 River's Prayer in race 4

4% selected #02 Cheyenne Queen in race 3

4% selected #01 Good N Muddy in race 3

3% selected #06 Steelin' in race 7

3% selected #06 Level Red in race 9

3% selected #08 Crafty Role in race 7

2% selected #02 Seeking Answers in race 8

2% selected #03 Really Indian in race 6
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  #6  
Old 03-17-2007, 06:01 PM
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jman5581 jman5581 is offline
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Looked at tomorrow's card...should be able to get through using either Seven Nation Army in the 2nd or Tap it Light in the 3rd.
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  #7  
Old 03-18-2007, 09:54 AM
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jman5581 jman5581 is offline
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I'm more confident in SNA, so that's who I'm going with in a 5 horse field. 128 showvivors remaining.
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