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  #1  
Old 02-12-2007, 02:28 PM
POINTGIVEN1985 POINTGIVEN1985 is offline
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i agree with slotdirt, but i will go a step further i'd say im 100 percent sure the derby winner comes off this list.
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  #2  
Old 02-12-2007, 02:56 PM
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MisterB MisterB is offline
Woodbine
 
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Lawrence the Roman won't make the derby, has no heart
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  #3  
Old 02-12-2007, 03:17 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by POINTGIVEN1985
i agree with slotdirt, but i will go a step further i'd say im 100 percent sure the derby winner comes off this list.
Well, in that case, I definitely change my mind.

It's must be nice to know things 100%.

Considering that 23% of the money in the Future Wager pool was bet on "All others", you could have bet on every listed horse and guaranteed yourself a nice profit. In other words, the money on "All others" more than offset the 16% takeout. You should have borrowed all the money you could so that you could have had your sure 7% profit in 3 months. That's what I would have done if I was 100% sure of making 7% on my money in 3 months.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #4  
Old 02-12-2007, 03:35 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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I can't believe I missed out on taking 12-1 on Circular Quay. Next thing I'll find out I could have gotten something around 35-1 on Lawrence the Roman.

PT Barnum.....right again!
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  #5  
Old 02-12-2007, 03:41 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
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As much as I wanted to bet Any Given Saturday......there wasn't enough value in taking 14/1 odds on him, for a race 12 weeks in the future, that will have a 17-to-20 horse field, when he has yet to even make his 3yo debut.

Of his three Derby preps---two will come at low-profile Tampa Bay Downs, and the other is supposed to come in the Blue Grass Stakes---over an artifical surface. His win over KEE's polytrack last fall was overrated...and not even close to being as good as his race at Churchill was.
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  #6  
Old 02-12-2007, 04:34 PM
POINTGIVEN1985 POINTGIVEN1985 is offline
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that is all good... but when you look at horses like ravel and no biz, they are 2 good races each away from being 5-1 or lower , and there is nothing at all to suggest they wont improve, and thats just 2 of the many on the list. if no biz wins out going up to the derby, which ALOT of ppl belive he will do , your looking at no better then 5-2, so how is there no value in 8-1
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  #7  
Old 02-12-2007, 04:38 PM
POINTGIVEN1985 POINTGIVEN1985 is offline
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dunbar... i also would like to say if you think i am wrong in making the statement that i made, then im sure you would be intrested in making a friendly wager, i will take all the horses on the list, i will give you everyone else... and instead of the chalkey odds you would get betting the field, i will give you 6-1. if intrested repond
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  #8  
Old 02-12-2007, 04:41 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by POINTGIVEN1985
dunbar... i also would like to say if you think i am wrong in making the statement that i made, then im sure you would be intrested in making a friendly wager, i will take all the horses on the list, i will give you everyone else... and instead of the chalkey odds you would get betting the field, i will give you 6-1. if intrested repond
You need to stop the pissing contest wagers on here...If you are staying, can you please add something to the place, not drivel. Thanks.
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  #9  
Old 02-12-2007, 04:44 PM
POINTGIVEN1985 POINTGIVEN1985 is offline
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lol your a funny man, im getting attacked bye multiple ppl for my comment earlier, then i backed it up, but im the one who needs to stop the pissing contest? i did nothing wrong i made a statement which i feel strongly about , 2 ppl gave there opinions, and i offered a wager, is there a problem ?
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  #10  
Old 02-12-2007, 04:52 PM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by POINTGIVEN1985
dunbar... i also would like to say if you think i am wrong in making the statement that i made, then im sure you would be intrested in making a friendly wager, i will take all the horses on the list, i will give you everyone else... and instead of the chalkey odds you would get betting the field, i will give you 6-1. if intrested repond

If Dunbar doesn't take the bet I will.

I'll take 4-1.

I will even let you decide if you want to use your attorney's escrow account or mine.

PM me your info.

Let's get this going.

I assume you'd want me to wager at least $1000 to make it worth your while.

If I don't hear from you I'll just assume you're a young kid who should be studying harder than he is as opposed to a true gambler who can truly play with the big kids.
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  #11  
Old 02-12-2007, 04:54 PM
POINTGIVEN1985 POINTGIVEN1985 is offline
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sent to stud.. yes i want the bet, and yes i am a young kid, but what does that have to do with anything ? i can cover the bet, you pick the ammount, and well i guess its 4-1, because you said that.
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  #12  
Old 02-12-2007, 07:25 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
If Dunbar doesn't take the bet I will.

I'll take 4-1.

I will even let you decide if you want to use your attorney's escrow account or mine.

PM me your info.

Let's get this going.

I assume you'd want me to wager at least $1000 to make it worth your while.

If I don't hear from you I'll just assume you're a young kid who should be studying harder than he is as opposed to a true gambler who can truly play with the big kids.
Dang, STS, you underbid me! But you're right, 4-1 is a great price. If you can set things up with ThisIsMyLastPost, go ahead. Hell, if he really puts up the money, you can lay it off to me at 7-2 and make an instant profit!

Frankly, I think the chance that he has/sends the money is close to nil. But I NEVER say 0%. ;>)

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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