Any Derby Pool 1 thoughts?

[zippyneedsawin]

I hope CQ drifts up a bit after the Risen Star. I'll toss a few $$ on him if he gets up to 25-1.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

I hope CQ drifts up a bit after the Risen Star. I'll toss a few $$ on him if he gets up to 25-1.

I'd need 65-1 to consider it.

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

I'd need 65-1 to consider it.

hmmm, ok.. and which horses do you consider a 'good deal' at this point?

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

hmmm, ok.. and which horses do you consider a 'good deal' at this point?

I was hoping for 20-1 on Any Given Saturday but probably won't get it. Was hoping for 30-1 on Great Hunter but probably won't get it. Most likely the only horse that in the end will offer enough value for me to take a stab at will be Liquidity.

[SniperSB23]

Actually I just realized Liquidity is another O'Neill that flopped miserably when leaving California. I might be passing on him too.

[zippyneedsawin]

That's what's cool about the future wager, different people see different value is certain bets.
I've been on CQ's bandwagon since I saw him break his maiden, so I'll be happy to get something in the 25-1 range. It's a crapshoot anyway, so hopefully I'll have something to route for on the first Saturday in May.

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

That's what's cool about the future wager, different people see different value is certain bets.
I've been on CQ's bandwagon since I saw him break his maiden, so I'll be happy to get something in the 25-1 range. It's a crapshoot anyway, so hopefully I'll have something to route for on the first Saturday in May.

Good for you.

Not exactly a fan of CQ, but if you were liking this horse before the Risen Star, I saw no reason to jump off the bandwagon. I think you'll get something more like 20-1, but that ain't too bad either. CQ didn't need the win to remain on the Derby trail - and even though he is 0-3, I don't doubt he can go two turns.

10 f in the Derby is a tall order for any horse, but with a solid 2YO campaign and some races and training under his belt it's conceivable.

I pretty much would take a shot at anything that's a runner and from the Mr P line. A Derby winning daddy only encourages me more.

I wouldn't play anything less than 15-1 in this pool, and for various reasons I'll be skipping it altogether (I like Ravel, but he's getting backed. I like Street Sense as well, but I'm hoping he comes up a bit short in the Hutcheson and will be better odds in pool 2. I'm also moving half a continent away from where I would have to make a wager -so that seals my sitting out).

At this point though, if you held a gun to my head and forced me to make a wager I think CQ would be one of the horses I'd play.

His supporters should actually be relieved he encountered trouble and finished off the board. If you liked him before the Risen Star, load up on him now.