Two at Toga (2025)

[theguarantee]

8/22:
Best Bet: Race 10 #2 Cousin Ed 8/1 - I don't have much of an excuse for the last where he saved every step of ground but I view this as a wide open field and just think he's the best price of the win candidates. This feels like the right level and while perhaps he's going to get a similar trip today I'm hoping Dylan is a little more patient and perhaps that will lead to a better late kick. I just feel there might still be a touch of upside here and today is the day to get a price if I'm right.

Best Value: Race 9 #12 Midnight Conerto 20/1 - Going to be tough for Elliott to work out a trip from this post but at the likely odds I'll roll the dice that he can. Two back against some of the main rivals she got no pace at all to chase and did OK splitting the field. I didn't think the last race was a good fit for her and she seems to prefer the inner. She has to improve today from a difficult post but I thought those fall races portended some ability and we haven't seen that step forward yet, hoping today is the day.

Good luck.

[theguarantee]

Travers Day 8/23:

Best Value: Race 9 Personal Ensign #3 Raging Sea 5/1 - The race two back is one of the all-time trips that is very easy to draw a line through, the question is why did she run so badly last time? While she got bumped early it was not nearly as bad as two back and although the race didn't really set up for her I don't truly have an excuse. It looks like the works since have been great and Chad running her back here tells me he must have confidence she bounces back with a better effort today. Looks to set up absolutely perfectly for her with all the speed.

Best Bet: Race 12 Forego #7 Mullikan 7/2 - I know on paper there isn't much reason to think he turns the tables on Book Em Danno but I think the 7F plays to his favor, I love that Brisset kept him up in Saratoga pointing here and I actually feel like the odds on those two are going to be reverse of the order they should be (with good reason on recent results) - I think the distance and schedule Mullikan took here will be enough to turn the tables. I'm very afraid of Most Wanted, but I think Mullikan should be more like 8/5 in here so I'll take what I consider to be an overlay.